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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
Sonderjyske
U S U T U
0–2
Full-time
Viborg
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 1,46
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 4. · Viborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 26 16 8 2 +24 +21.0 56
2 Midtjylland 25 13 9 3 +34 +8.6 48
3 Nordsjaelland 26 13 2 11 +2 -2.0 41
4 Sonderjyske 25 10 8 7 +4 +0.1 38
5 Viborg 25 11 4 10 +2 -2.7 37
6 Brondby 25 10 5 10 +7 +4.7 35
7 Odense 25 9 7 9 -8 +4.6 34
8 FC Copenhagen 25 9 5 11 +6 +18.5 32
9 Randers FC 25 8 6 11 -5 +4.4 30
10 Fredericia 25 8 3 14 -22 -24.2 27
11 Silkeborg 25 6 5 14 -25 -19.1 23
12 Vejle 25 3 8 14 -19 -14.0 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Viborg
34′
ℹ️ Žan Zaletel
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
T. Klysner 🔁
↦ S. Waever
46′
46′
🔁 J. Mbom
↦ H. Bidstrup
48′
L. Kirkegaard 0–1
S. Jalal
55′
🟨 Dorian Hanza
N. Flo 🔁
↦ M. Bundgaard
59′
D. Wilkins 🔁
↦ S. Emini
59′
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ D. L. Gretarsson
60′
65′
🔁 C. Nouck
↦ B. Brahimi
P. Kristensen 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
68′
72′
🟨 Mads Søndergaard
79′
🟨 Charly Nouck
80′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ M. Sondergaard
80′
🔁 O. Addo
↦ S. Jalal
Lirim Qamili ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
89′
Lirim Qamili 🟨
90′
90′
O. Addo 0–2
Tobias Klysner 🟨
94′
96′
🔁 T. Freriks
↦ D. Hanza
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
16 M. Bundgaard G
3 S. Waever D
5 M. Jensen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
6 R. Vinderslev M
26 T. Sommer M
15 L. Qamili M
7 S. Emini M
24 O. Hyseni M
11 A. Lyng F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
22 A. Oggesen
9 M. Hoppe
23 G. Duru
29 A. Rrahmani
13 D. Wilkins
20 T. Klysner
28 A. Pedersen
19 P. Kristensen

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
26 H. Bidstrup D
32 L. Kirkegaard D
5 Z. Zaletel D
30 S. Kuzmic D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
6 M. Sondergaard M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 D. Hanza F
29 S. Jalal F
Bench (9)
16 F. Djukic
55 S. Radic
8 A. Beck
17 O. Addo
4 M. Hoedemakers
18 J. Mbom
9 T. Freriks
11 C. Nouck
33 F. Damkjer

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.