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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Viborg
U S U S S
3–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,49 xG 2,80
36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 8. · Nordsjaelland 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 8 6 2 0 +9 +6.7 20
2 Aarhus 8 5 2 1 +14 +1.6 17
3 Silkeborg 8 5 1 2 +6 +0.6 16
4 Brondby 8 4 2 2 +6 +5.4 14
5 FC Copenhagen 8 4 2 2 +5 +4.3 14
6 Randers FC 8 3 3 2 +1 -0.5 12
7 Nordsjaelland 8 3 3 2 +0 +3.9 12
8 Viborg 8 2 3 3 +2 -1.1 9
9 Aalborg 8 3 0 5 -11 -5.1 9
10 Lyngby 8 1 2 5 -6 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 8 1 2 5 -9 -9.6 5
12 Vejle 8 0 0 8 -17 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Nordsjaelland
15′
S. Egeli 0–1
L. Hey
Serginho 🟨
18′
1–1 S. Radić
Serginho
28′
2–1 Renato Júnior
M. Westergaard
39′
Renato Júnior 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 I. Jensen
M. Westergaard
46′
46′
🔁 M. Iloski
↦ M. Hansen
46′
🔁 M. Dorgeles
↦ Z. Sertdemir
57′
ℹ️ Milan Iloski
VAR: Penalty cancelled
A. Ementa 🔁
↦ Renato Júnior
60′
J. Lonwijk 🔁
↦ T. Jørgensen
60′
J. Vester 🔁
↦ Serginho
60′
67′
🟨 Peter Ankersen
75′
🔁 L. Høgsberg
↦ S. Egeli
C. Nouck 🔁
↦ M. Westergaard
82′
85′
🔁 C. Yirenkyi
↦ P. Ankersen
85′
🔁 A. Mohammed
↦ M. Brink
86′
L. Hey 3–2
J. Tverskov
I. Näsberg 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
87′
Oscar Hedvall 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
16 O. Hedvall G
18 J. Mbom D
55 S. Radić D
4 N. Bürgy D
24 D. Anyembe D
12 T. Jørgensen M
13 J. Grønning M
28 M. Westergaard M
7 Serginho F
11 Renato Júnior F
10 I. Jensen F
Bench (9)
14 A. Ementa
19 J. Lonwijk
37 J. Vester
17 C. Nouck
2 I. Näsberg
23 O. Bundgaard
8 I. Said
6 M. Søndergaard
1 L. Lund

Coach: J. Poulsen

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
19 L. Hey D
6 J. Tverskov D
5 D. Svensson D
10 B. Nygren M
16 M. Brink M
21 Z. Sertdemir M
14 S. Egeli F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
11 M. Hansen F
Bench (9)
32 M. Iloski
8 M. Dorgeles
24 L. Høgsberg
36 C. Yirenkyi
20 A. Mohammed
45 N. Markmann
17 L. Nene
38 W. Lykke
18 J. Janssen

Coach: J. Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.