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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Odense

T U T S U

1–0

Full-time

Fredericia

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 73%

83%

63%

Average goals

3,6

3,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,56 xG 0,89

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Odense 8. · Fredericia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	24	15	7	2	+23	+17.1	52
2	Midtjylland	25	13	9	3	+34	+8.6	48
3	Sonderjyske	25	10	8	7	+4	+0.1	38
4	Viborg	24	11	4	9	+3	-0.9	37
5	Nordsjaelland	24	12	1	11	+1	-0.7	37
6	Brondby	24	10	5	9	+8	+5.5	35
7	FC Copenhagen	25	9	5	11	+6	+18.5	32
8	Odense	24	8	7	9	-9	+4.0	31
9	Randers FC	25	8	6	11	-5	+4.4	30
10	Fredericia	24	8	3	13	-21	-23.6	27
11	Silkeborg	25	6	5	14	-25	-19.1	23
12	Vejle	25	3	8	14	-19	-14.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	7	5	1	+19	+8.7	26
2	Aarhus	12	8	2	2	+12	+15.3	26
3	Sonderjyske	12	7	3	2	+8	+2.7	24
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	1	4	+10	+6.8	22
5	Viborg	12	6	2	4	+4	-3.7	20
6	Brondby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.0	18
7	Odense	12	5	3	4	-3	+6.1	18
8	FC Copenhagen	13	4	4	5	+5	+15.9	16
9	Randers FC	12	4	2	6	-6	+0.2	14
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-2	-3.4	13
11	Silkeborg	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.2	12
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+11	+1.8	26
2	Midtjylland	12	6	4	2	+15	-0.0	22
3	Brondby	12	5	2	5	+4	+3.5	17
4	Viborg	12	5	2	5	-1	+2.8	17
5	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
6	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	+1	+4.2	16
7	Fredericia	12	5	1	6	-7	-15.0	16
8	Nordsjaelland	12	5	0	7	-9	-7.5	15
9	Sonderjyske	13	3	5	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Odense	12	3	4	5	-6	-2.1	13
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-17	-15.9	11
12	Vejle	12	0	4	8	-17	-10.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.