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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Nagamine

Radomiak Radom

U S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Motor Lublin

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

31%

35%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 68%

73%

62%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,82 xG 1,17

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 14. · Motor Lublin 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	+9	+20.3	45
2	Jagiellonia	27	11	9	7	+9	-1.4	42
3	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	+7	-3.1	42
4	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	+10	-4.3	41
5	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	+3	+4.0	39
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	+2	+7.6	39
7	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	+2	-0.9	39
8	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	+1	-7.2	39
9	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	-3	-5.6	37
10	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	+4	-3.2	36
11	Cracovia	27	9	9	9	+0	+1.8	36
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	-2	-2.9	35
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	-4	+8.4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	+2	-1.2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	-1	+0.4	30
16	Widzew Lodz	27	8	6	13	-3	+4.7	30
17	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	-19	-8.6	30
18	Nieciecza	27	6	7	14	-17	-8.9	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	1	4	+14	+3.3	28
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	8	2	3	+9	+10.4	26
3	GKS Katowice	14	8	2	4	+6	-1.5	26
4	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
5	Radomiak Radom	13	7	3	3	+14	+7.6	24
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
7	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
8	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
9	Zaglebie	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.6	23
10	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+6	+13.1	22
11	Motor Lublin	14	5	7	2	+4	+2.0	22
12	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.0	20
13	Legia	13	5	5	3	+5	+1.7	20
14	Cracovia	13	5	5	3	+4	+5.9	20
15	Widzew Lodz	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
16	Rakow	13	5	4	4	+2	+4.5	19
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	14	3	4	7	-8	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+3	+7.2	23
2	Rakow	14	6	2	6	+0	+3.1	20
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	13	5	3	5	-2	-5.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.2	17
6	Korona Kielce	13	4	4	5	-1	-6.2	16
7	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.1	16
8	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
9	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-7	-7.7	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	5	5	-7	-6.3	14
12	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
13	Nieciecza	13	3	3	7	-9	-5.2	12
14	Widzew Lodz	14	3	2	9	-5	+1.9	11
15	Legia	13	1	7	5	-6	-1.3	10
16	Radomiak Radom	13	1	6	6	-12	-8.8	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	13	1	1	11	-24	-5.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.