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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Randers FC

U U T U S

1–2

Full-time

Fredericia

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,2

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

25%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

40%

70%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,96 xG 2,21

59% Possession 41%

27 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

11 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 9. · Fredericia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	20	13	5	2	+19	+16.4	44
2	Midtjylland	20	12	6	2	+31	+6.1	42
3	Brondby	20	10	2	8	+9	+8.9	32
4	Sonderjyske	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.8	32
5	Nordsjaelland	21	10	1	10	-1	+0.0	31
6	Viborg	20	9	3	8	+4	-2.5	30
7	FC Copenhagen	21	8	5	8	+2	+12.8	29
8	Odense	21	7	6	8	-9	+3.1	27
9	Randers FC	20	6	5	9	-5	+3.8	23
10	Silkeborg	20	5	4	11	-16	-15.4	19
11	Fredericia	20	5	3	12	-21	-19.2	18
12	Vejle	21	3	5	13	-18	-13.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.0	24
2	Aarhus	10	7	1	2	+9	+15.3	22
3	Sonderjyske	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.7	20
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	1	4	+8	+6.7	19
5	Brondby	10	5	2	3	+5	+5.1	17
6	Viborg	10	5	1	4	+3	-3.2	16
7	Odense	11	4	3	4	-4	+5.2	15
8	Randers FC	10	4	2	4	-2	+0.6	14
9	FC Copenhagen	10	3	4	3	+0	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	10	3	2	5	-1	-2.8	11
11	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-2.2	11
12	Fredericia	10	2	2	6	-12	-8.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.1	22
2	Midtjylland	10	5	3	2	+11	-1.9	18
3	FC Copenhagen	11	5	1	5	+2	+3.5	16
4	Brondby	10	5	0	5	+4	+3.8	15
5	Viborg	10	4	2	4	+1	+0.7	14
6	Sonderjyske	10	3	3	4	-2	-3.5	12
7	Odense	10	3	3	4	-5	-2.0	12
8	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-9	-6.7	12
9	Fredericia	10	3	1	6	-9	-10.9	10
10	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-3	+3.3	9
11	Silkeborg	10	2	2	6	-12	-13.2	8
12	Vejle	11	0	3	8	-17	-10.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.