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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Lechia Gdansk

T U S T S

4–2

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 40%

42%

38%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

73%

46%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,12 xG 1,90

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 18

9 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 5. · Korona Kielce 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	+9	+20.3	45
2	Jagiellonia	27	11	9	7	+9	-1.4	42
3	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	+7	-3.1	42
4	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	+10	-4.3	41
5	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	+3	+4.0	39
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	+2	+7.6	39
7	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	+2	-0.9	39
8	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	+1	-7.2	39
9	Motor Lublin	27	9	11	7	-3	-6.3	38
10	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	+4	-3.2	36
11	Cracovia	27	9	9	9	+0	+1.8	36
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	-2	-2.9	35
13	Radomiak Radom	27	8	10	9	+2	-0.5	34
14	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	-6	+6.9	34
15	Legia	27	7	12	8	+1	+1.9	33
16	Widzew Lodz	27	8	6	13	-3	+4.7	30
17	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	-19	-8.6	30
18	Nieciecza	27	6	7	14	-17	-8.9	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	1	4	+14	+3.3	28
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	2	4	+7	+8.9	26
3	GKS Katowice	14	8	2	4	+6	-1.5	26
4	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
5	Radomiak Radom	14	7	4	3	+14	+8.3	25
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
7	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
8	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
9	Zaglebie	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.6	23
10	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+6	+13.1	22
11	Motor Lublin	14	5	7	2	+4	+2.0	22
12	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.0	20
13	Legia	13	5	5	3	+5	+1.7	20
14	Cracovia	13	5	5	3	+4	+5.9	20
15	Widzew Lodz	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
16	Rakow	13	5	4	4	+2	+4.5	19
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	14	3	4	7	-8	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+3	+7.2	23
2	Rakow	14	6	2	6	+0	+3.1	20
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	13	5	3	5	-2	-5.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.2	17
6	Korona Kielce	13	4	4	5	-1	-6.2	16
7	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.1	16
8	Motor Lublin	13	4	4	5	-7	-8.3	16
9	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	5	5	-7	-6.3	14
12	Legia	14	2	7	5	-4	+0.2	13
13	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
14	Nieciecza	13	3	3	7	-9	-5.2	12
15	Widzew Lodz	14	3	2	9	-5	+1.9	11
16	Radomiak Radom	13	1	6	6	-12	-8.8	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	13	1	1	11	-24	-5.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.