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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Sampdoria
U T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Empoli
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
66%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 0,68
44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 14. · Empoli 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 33 21 8 4 +39 +31.2 71
2 Frosinone 33 19 11 3 +32 +10.0 68
3 Monza 33 19 9 5 +24 +14.1 66
4 Palermo 33 18 10 5 +27 +10.9 64
5 Catanzaro 32 14 11 7 +11 +1.4 53
6 Modena 32 14 8 10 +15 +8.5 50
7 Juve Stabia 33 10 15 8 -2 +0.2 45
8 Cesena 33 12 8 13 -6 +3.8 44
9 Carrarese 32 9 12 11 -1 -6.9 39
10 Sudtirol 33 8 15 10 -1 -3.7 39
11 Avellino 33 10 9 14 -16 -15.6 39
12 Mantova 33 10 7 16 -11 +1.4 37
13 Empoli 32 8 12 12 -4 +3.7 36
14 Sampdoria 32 8 10 14 -12 -2.9 34
15 Padova 33 8 10 15 -13 -11.4 34
16 Virtus Entella 33 8 10 15 -15 -10.0 34
17 Bari 33 8 10 15 -18 -18.0 34
18 Pescara 33 7 11 15 -13 -2.8 32
19 Spezia 32 7 9 16 -15 -3.9 30
20 Reggiana 33 7 9 17 -21 -9.9 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Empoli
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Pierini
58′
60′
🔁 J. Ceesay
↦ E. Saporiti
60′
🔁 B. Popov
↦ M. Nasti
L. Cherubini 🔁
↦ A. Barak
66′
74′
🔁 N. Haas
↦ A. Ghion
74′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ L. Magnino
Tjaš Begić 🟨
76′
80′
🟨 Brando Moruzzi
M. Cicconi 🔁
↦ T. Begic
82′
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ M. Coda
83′
M. Palma 🔁
↦ A. Di Pardo
83′
86′
🔁 D. Fila
↦ A. Candela
87′
🟨 Nicolas Haas
Edoardo Soleri 🟨
90′
F. Depaoli 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-2-1
50 T. Martinelli G
29 A. Di Pardo D
28 O. Abildgaard D
2 M. Viti D
21 S. Giordano D
33 F. Conti
94 S. Esposito M
77 N. Pierini M
11 T. Begic M
72 A. Barak M
9 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
1 S. Ghidotti
98 G. Coucke
25 A. Ferrari
5 A. Riccio
10 L. Cherubini
34 T. Casalino
8 M. Ricci
4 J. Ferri
92 E. Soleri
7 M. Cicconi
23 F. Depaoli
13 M. Palma

Coach: Angelo Gregucci

Empoli

4-2-3-1
21 A. Fulignati G
26 A. Candela D
20 M. Lovato D
34 G. Guarino D
27 B. Moruzzi D
18 A. Ghion M
14 G. Yepes M
8 L. Magnino M
11 S. Shpendi M
70 E. Saporiti M
19 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
1 S. Perisan
2 M. Curto
17 D. Fila
5 N. Obaretin
28 G. Indragoli
24 T. Ebuehi
32 N. Haas
15 J. Ceesay
99 F. Bianchi
10 R. Ilie
25 L. Ignacchiti
77 B. Popov

Coach: Fabio Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,13
B
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.