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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Fredericia

T S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Randers FC

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

3,6

2,2

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,66 xG 1,48

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredericia 10. · Randers FC 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	22	15	5	2	+23	+16.3	50
2	Midtjylland	22	13	7	2	+35	+7.5	46
3	Sonderjyske	22	10	6	6	+6	+0.9	36
4	Brondby	22	10	4	8	+9	+7.6	34
5	Viborg	22	10	3	9	+2	-2.1	33
6	Nordsjaelland	22	10	1	11	-2	-0.4	31
7	FC Copenhagen	22	8	5	9	+1	+12.7	29
8	Odense	22	7	6	9	-10	+2.4	27
9	Randers FC	22	7	5	10	-5	+3.6	26
10	Fredericia	22	7	3	12	-19	-18.4	24
11	Silkeborg	22	5	4	13	-21	-16.9	19
12	Vejle	22	3	5	14	-19	-13.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	11	7	4	0	+20	+8.4	25
2	Aarhus	11	8	1	2	+12	+15.3	25
3	Sonderjyske	11	7	2	2	+8	+3.5	23
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	1	4	+8	+6.7	19
5	Viborg	11	6	1	4	+4	-2.8	19
6	Brondby	11	5	3	3	+5	+4.2	18
7	Odense	11	4	3	4	-4	+5.2	15
8	Randers FC	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.3	14
9	FC Copenhagen	11	3	4	4	-1	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	11	3	2	6	-2	-2.7	11
11	Silkeborg	11	3	2	6	-8	-3.2	11
12	Fredericia	11	3	2	6	-11	-7.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	11	7	4	0	+11	+0.9	25
2	Midtjylland	11	6	3	2	+15	-0.9	21
3	Brondby	11	5	1	5	+4	+3.5	16
4	FC Copenhagen	11	5	1	5	+2	+3.5	16
5	Viborg	11	4	2	5	-2	+0.7	14
6	Sonderjyske	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.6	13
7	Fredericia	11	4	1	6	-8	-10.6	13
8	Randers FC	11	3	3	5	-2	+3.3	12
9	Odense	11	3	3	5	-6	-2.8	12
10	Nordsjaelland	11	4	0	7	-10	-7.1	12
11	Silkeborg	11	2	2	7	-13	-13.8	8
12	Vejle	11	0	3	8	-17	-10.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.