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Superligaen

Referee: F Svendsen

Odense

T U S T T

3–2

Full-time

Fredericia

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

5,0

4,2

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

88%

50%

Both score Ø 76%

88%

63%

Average goals

4,1

3,5

Scored

1,6

Conceded

2,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 1,96

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Odense 11. · Fredericia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	2	1	+9	+4.5	17
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+9	+4.7	16
3	Midtjylland	8	4	3	1	+9	-0.1	15
4	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+2	+3.8	15
5	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	-2	+0.2	12
6	Fredericia	8	3	2	3	-2	-4.7	11
7	Sonderjyske	8	3	1	4	-2	-5.4	10
8	Randers FC	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.9	10
9	Viborg	8	3	0	5	-2	-0.8	9
10	Silkeborg	8	3	0	5	-6	+0.5	9
11	Odense	8	2	2	4	-7	+3.9	8
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-3	-5.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
2	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+6	+2.3	8
3	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+3	+6.7	7
4	Sonderjyske	4	2	1	1	+2	-3.7	7
5	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
6	Silkeborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
7	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.4	6
8	Odense	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.5	6
9	Vejle	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.5	4
10	FC Copenhagen	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
11	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.0	3
12	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+8	+2.8	12
2	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+6	-2.2	10
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.2	6
7	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.3	6
8	Fredericia	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.8	4
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
10	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.5	3
11	Odense	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.4	2
12	Vejle	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.