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Superligaen
Referee: S Funder
Fredericia
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,64 xG 1,12
49% Possession 51%
22 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredericia 10. · Silkeborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 21 14 5 2 +22 +16.4 47
2 Midtjylland 21 13 6 2 +35 +7.1 45
3 Brondby 21 10 3 8 +9 +8.0 33
4 Sonderjyske 21 9 6 6 +5 +0.1 33
5 Nordsjaelland 21 10 1 10 -1 +0.0 31
6 Viborg 21 9 3 9 +1 -2.5 30
7 FC Copenhagen 21 8 5 8 +2 +12.8 29
8 Odense 21 7 6 8 -9 +3.1 27
9 Randers FC 21 6 5 10 -6 +3.6 23
10 Fredericia 21 6 3 12 -20 -18.9 21
11 Silkeborg 21 5 4 12 -20 -16.4 19
12 Vejle 21 3 5 13 -18 -13.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredericia Silkeborg
8′
🟨 Mads Larsen
A. Pyndt 🔁
↦ W. Madsen
31′
44′
J. Gammelby 0–1
Y. Bakiz
1–1 S. Crone
S. Johannesen
45′
Half-time 1–1
67′
🔁 S. Stuker
↦ J. Nielsen
67′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ C. McCowatt
2–1 S. Johannesen
68′
J. Kudsk 🔁
↦ S. Crone
74′
D. F. Kristjansson 🔁
↦ S. Johannesen
74′
P. Egelund 🔁
↦ J. Lindekilde
74′
77′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ Y. Bakiz
77′
🔁 W. Kirk
↦ M. Larsen
87′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ A. Wikman
M. Opondo 🔁
↦ J. Jessen
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fredericia

4-2-3-1
42 E. Green G
12 S. Crone D
3 A. Nygaard D
5 F. Rieper D
8 J. Jessen D
13 W. Madsen M
6 F. Winther M
16 S. Johannesen M
21 J. Lindekilde M
10 E. Simonsen M
25 F. Etim F
Bench (9)
23 M. Eriksen
24 K. Pedersen
11 M. Opondo
14 A. Dahl
4 J. Kudsk
17 D. F. Kristjansson
18 A. Pyndt
9 P. Egelund
29 E. Hansborg

Coach: Michael Hansen

Silkeborg

4-3-3
30 A. Andresen G
19 J. Gammelby D
3 R. Ostrom D
4 P. Ganchas D
36 J. Nielsen D
20 M. Larsen M
7 V. Westh M
6 A. Wikman M
17 C. McCowatt F
23 T. Adamsen F
10 Y. Bakiz F
Bench (8)
16 B. Lykkegaard
8 J. Andersen
28 S. Stuker
14 S. Berger
15 M. Jonsson
11 O. Ross
26 M. Oxenberg
27 W. Kirk

Coach: Kent Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Funder · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.