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Superligaen
Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen
Silkeborg
S U S T U
1–4
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 57%
53%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,90 xG 2,64
45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Silkeborg 4. · Midtjylland 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 16 10 3 3 +14 +10.9 33
2 Brondby 16 9 4 3 +12 +1.3 31
3 Midtjylland 15 9 3 3 +7 +5.1 30
4 Silkeborg 15 8 3 4 +12 +10.8 27
5 Nordsjaelland 16 7 5 4 +12 +7.9 26
6 Aarhus 16 6 7 3 +3 +7.0 25
7 Viborg 16 5 4 7 -8 -2.7 19
8 Lyngby 16 4 5 7 -8 -2.8 17
9 Odense 16 4 4 8 -4 -6.5 16
10 Randers FC 16 3 6 7 -13 -2.6 15
11 Vejle 16 3 4 9 -5 -15.7 13
12 Hvidovre IF 16 1 4 11 -22 -12.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Silkeborg Midtjylland
19′
S. Ingason 0–1
Paulinho
Alexander Lind 🟥
32′
37′
🔁 J. Lössl
↦ M. Fraisl
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Gigović
↦ A. Rømer
46′
🔁 Franculino Djú
↦ O. Brynhildsen
1–1 S. Þórðarson
M. Brink
50′
51′
Franculino Djú 1–2
A. Gigović
Anders Klynge 🟨
62′
65′
H. Dalsgaard 1–3
Franculino Djú
A. Poulsen 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
69′
C. McCowatt 🔁
↦ S. Þórðarson
69′
73′
Franculino Djú 1–4
H. Dalsgaard
R. Østrøm 🔁
↦ T. Adamsen
77′
81′
🟨 Sverrir Ingi Ingason
81′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
84′
🔁 J. Andersson
↦ H. Dalsgaard
S. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ A. Klynge
86′
A. Pyndt 🔁
↦ M. Brink
87′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Silkeborg

4-3-1-2
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
40 A. Busch D
4 J. Felix D
24 L. Musonda D
6 P. Mattsson M
14 M. Brink M
21 A. Klynge M
8 S. Þórðarson M
23 T. Adamsen F
9 A. Lind F
Bench (9)
2 A. Poulsen
17 C. McCowatt
3 R. Østrøm
10 S. Tengstedt
22 A. Pyndt
7 K. Kusk
16 J. Pryts
11 F. Carlsen
18 A. Dahl

Coach: K. Nielsen

Midtjylland

4-4-2
50 M. Fraisl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
15 S. Ingason D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
11 D. Osorio M
8 K. Olsson M
2 A. Rømer M
24 O. Sørensen M
9 O. Brynhildsen F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lössl
37 A. Gigović
17 Franculino Djú
44 N. Dyhr
6 J. Andersson
33 M. Krüger-Johnsen
35 Charles
73 Juninho
3 Lee Han-Beom

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Kjærsgaard-Andersen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.