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Superligaen
Referee: M Tykgaard
Viborg
U T U S T
1–4
Full-time
Silkeborg
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 72%
72%
72%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,81 xG 2,98
51% Possession 49%
4 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 8. · Silkeborg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 19 11 6 2 +15 +10.1 39
2 Midtjylland 19 11 3 5 +9 +1.8 36
3 Aarhus 19 9 7 3 +20 +7.7 34
4 Brondby 19 8 7 4 +12 +7.9 31
5 Randers FC 19 8 7 4 +11 +9.5 31
6 Nordsjaelland 18 8 5 5 +2 +5.8 29
7 Silkeborg 18 6 8 4 +5 -1.2 26
8 Viborg 18 5 6 7 -1 -3.7 21
9 Aalborg 18 4 5 9 -17 -13.9 17
10 Sonderjyske 19 4 4 11 -20 -11.8 16
11 Lyngby 19 1 8 10 -13 -4.0 11
12 Vejle 19 2 4 13 -23 -8.2 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Silkeborg
1–0 I. Näsberg
Serginho
5′
30′
M. Larsen 1–1
R. Østrøm
37′
Y. Bakiz 1–2
A. Klynge
Half-time 1–2
J. Vester 🔁
↦ T. Jørgensen
46′
52′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ M. Larsen
A. Beck 🔁
↦ J. Lonwijk
68′
I. Said 🔁
↦ Serginho
68′
Y. Njoh 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
68′
Anosike Ementa 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 C. McCowatt
↦ A. Klynge
83′
E. Andersson 2–2
own goal
86′
C. McCowatt 2–3
T. Adamsen
88′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ T. Adamsen
88′
🔁 R. Orazov
↦ M. Freundlich
89′
🔁 S. Berger
↦ Y. Bakiz
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
18 J. Mbom D
24 D. Anyembe D
2 I. Näsberg D
3 E. Andersson D
12 T. Jørgensen M
13 J. Grønning M
19 J. Lonwijk M
7 Serginho F
14 A. Ementa F
10 I. Jensen F
Bench (9)
37 J. Vester
15 A. Beck
8 I. Said
27 Y. Njoh
33 F. Damkjer
30 S. Kuzmić
26 H. Bidstrup
55 S. Radić
16 O. Hedvall

Coach: J. Poulsen

Silkeborg

4-3-3
1 N. Larsen G
3 R. Østrøm D
25 P. Rödin D
40 A. Busch D
2 A. Poulsen D
20 M. Larsen M
6 P. Mattsson M
33 M. Freundlich M
21 A. Klynge F
23 T. Adamsen F
10 Y. Bakiz F
Bench (9)
8 J. Andersen
17 C. McCowatt
9 A. Simmelhack
7 R. Orazov
14 S. Berger
41 O. Boesen
30 A. Andrésen
36 J. Nielsen
24 A. Priesborg

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Tykgaard · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.