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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Brondby
U U S T S
4–1
Full-time
Viborg
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
53%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,38 xG 1,23
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 5. · Viborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 17 9 6 2 +13 +9.6 33
2 Midtjylland 17 10 3 4 +9 +2.0 33
3 Randers FC 17 8 6 3 +12 +9.7 30
4 Aarhus 17 7 7 3 +13 +3.2 28
5 Brondby 17 7 6 4 +9 +6.9 27
6 Silkeborg 17 6 8 3 +6 -0.7 26
7 Nordsjaelland 17 7 5 5 +1 +4.8 26
8 Viborg 17 5 6 6 +2 -2.6 21
9 Aalborg 17 4 5 8 -13 -11.1 17
10 Sonderjyske 17 4 4 9 -16 -9.0 16
11 Lyngby 17 1 7 9 -12 -4.0 10
12 Vejle 17 1 3 13 -24 -8.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Viborg
1–0 M. Kvistgaarden
M. Rajović
3′
Mileta Rajović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
14′
Daniel Wass
penalty missed
16′
27′
I. Näsberg 1–1
Half-time 1–2
1–2 D. Anyembe
own goal
46′
61′
🔁 T. Jørgensen
↦ J. Vester
61′
🔁 C. Nouck
↦ I. Jensen
2–2 Y. Suzuki
N. Nartey
64′
F. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
74′
75′
🔁 I. Said
↦ J. Lonwijk
75′
🔁 Renato Júnior
↦ A. Ementa
Sean Klaiber ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
80′
B. Tahirović 🔁
↦ N. Nartey
80′
3–2 M. Rajović
82′
R. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
87′
90′
🟨 Renato Júnior
90′
🔁 Y. Njoh
↦ Serginho
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Brondby

4-3-3
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
24 M. Divković D
35 N. Nartey M
10 D. Wass M
7 N. Vallys M
28 Y. Suzuki F
17 M. Rajović F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
11 F. Bundgaard
30 J. Vanlerberghe
8 B. Tahirović
5 R. Lauritsen
38 J. Ambæk
6 S. Spierings
43 L. Larsen
13 G. Beavers
42 M. Jensen

Coach: F. Christensen

Viborg

4-2-3-1
1 L. Lund G
18 J. Mbom D
24 D. Anyembe D
2 I. Näsberg D
3 E. Andersson D
37 J. Vester M
19 J. Lonwijk M
7 Serginho M
13 J. Grønning M
10 I. Jensen M
14 A. Ementa F
Bench (9)
12 T. Jørgensen
17 C. Nouck
8 I. Said
11 Renato Júnior
27 Y. Njoh
33 F. Damkjer
55 S. Radić
16 O. Hedvall
30 S. Kuzmić

Coach: J. Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.