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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Nordsjaelland

U U S U S

1–1

Full-time

Lyngby

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,55 xG 0,69

71% Possession 29%

24 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 10

12 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · Lyngby 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.4	8
2	Nordsjaelland	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.0	7
3	Randers FC	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
4	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.9	7
5	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
6	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.8	6
7	Aarhus	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.9	4
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Viborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.8	1
10	Lyngby	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.5	1
11	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.5	1
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-5	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
2	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
3	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
4	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.1	4
5	FC Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
6	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Viborg	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
10	Sonderjyske	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.4	0
12	Lyngby	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
2	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
3	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.5	3
4	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Midtjylland	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
6	Lyngby	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
8	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
9	Viborg	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
10	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
11	Aalborg	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
12	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.