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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
FC Copenhagen
T S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
61%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
72%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
61%
44%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,85 xG 0,86
43% Possession 57%
19 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Nordsjaelland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 19 12 4 3 +20 +5.3 40
2 Midtjylland 19 12 3 4 +14 +10.6 39
3 FC Copenhagen 18 11 3 4 +16 +13.6 36
4 Nordsjaelland 18 8 6 4 +13 +8.2 30
5 Aarhus 19 7 8 4 +3 +4.7 29
6 Silkeborg 19 8 3 8 +2 +5.8 27
7 Randers FC 19 5 7 7 -10 -2.5 22
8 Odense 19 5 5 9 -6 -7.1 20
9 Lyngby 19 5 5 9 -8 -2.6 20
10 Viborg 19 5 5 9 -13 -5.8 20
11 Vejle 19 4 6 9 -3 -13.8 18
12 Hvidovre IF 19 1 5 13 -28 -16.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
Elias Jelert 🟨
29′
1–0 V. Claesson
E. Achouri
30′
Half-time 1–0
B. Meling 🔁
↦ E. Jelert
46′
58′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ A. Nagalo
59′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ I. Osman
2–0 E. Achouri
59′
65′
🟨 Lucas Hey
Birger Meling 🟨
67′
O. Højlund 🔁
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
71′
72′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ O. Villadsen
72′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ M. Ingvartsen
75′
🟨 Kian Hansen
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
81′
V. Froholdt 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
82′
87′
🔁 S. Egeli
↦ C. Rasmussen
W. Clem 🔁
↦ R. Falk
93′
95′
🟨 Conrad Harder
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
19 E. Jelert D
3 D. Vavro D
26 S. McKenna D
2 K. Diks D
9 Diogo Gonçalves M
33 R. Falk M
8 M. Mattsson M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
7 V. Claesson F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (9)
24 B. Meling
39 O. Højlund
14 A. Cornelius
47 V. Froholdt
36 W. Clem
11 J. Larsson
6 C. Sørensen
31 R. Rúnarsson
40 R. Bardghji

Coach: J. Neestrup

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
39 A. Nagalo D
4 K. Hansen D
5 M. Frese D
27 D. Svensson M
6 J. Tverskov M
8 A. Schjelderup M
17 C. Rasmussen F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
Bench (9)
19 L. Hey
22 O. Antman
40 C. Harder
11 M. Hansen
43 S. Egeli
29 M. Dorgeles
15 E. Marxen
25 C. Eriksson
21 Z. Sertdemir

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.