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Superligaen
Referee: M Redder
Silkeborg
S S U S T
4–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,38 xG 1,34
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Silkeborg 3. · Nordsjaelland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 5 3 2 0 +5 +3.6 11
2 FC Copenhagen 4 3 1 0 +5 +3.5 10
3 Silkeborg 4 3 0 1 +3 +2.1 9
4 Nordsjaelland 4 2 2 0 +4 +3.9 8
5 Aarhus 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.3 7
6 Brondby 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
7 Randers FC 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.3 7
8 Aalborg 4 2 0 2 -3 -2.2 6
9 Lyngby 5 0 2 3 -5 -2.5 2
10 Viborg 4 0 1 3 -4 -1.8 1
11 Sonderjyske 4 0 1 3 -7 -5.5 1
12 Vejle 4 0 0 4 -5 -4.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Silkeborg Nordsjaelland
31′
B. Nygren 0–1
C. Harder
1–1 O. Sonne
A. Poulsen
33′
2–1 Y. Bakiz
M. Freundlich
35′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ J. Janssen
59′
🟨 Kian Hansen
63′
🔁 M. Iloski
↦ S. Egeli
63′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ M. Ingvartsen
R. Orazov 🔁
↦ J. Andersen
65′
3–1 T. Adamsen
71′
4–1 T. Adamsen
Y. Bakiz
74′
77′
🔁 L. Høgsberg
↦ M. Dorgeles
O. Boesen 🔁
↦ M. Freundlich
79′
J. Gammelby 🔁
↦ A. Poulsen
79′
J. Nielsen 🔁
↦ Y. Bakiz
88′
88′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ B. Nygren
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
3 R. Østrøm D
4 Pedro Ganchas D
2 A. Poulsen D
20 M. Larsen M
14 M. Brink M
33 M. Freundlich M
8 J. Andersen M
10 Y. Bakiz M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (8)
7 R. Orazov
41 O. Boesen
19 J. Gammelby
36 J. Nielsen
22 A. Pyndt
24 A. Priesborg
35 S. Mikkelsen
16 J. Pryts

Coach: K. Nielsen

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
4 K. Hansen D
19 L. Hey D
5 D. Svensson D
9 B. Nygren M
18 J. Janssen M
29 M. Dorgeles M
14 S. Egeli F
40 C. Harder F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (9)
21 Z. Sertdemir
32 M. Iloski
11 M. Hansen
24 L. Høgsberg
17 L. Nene
12 R. Ascone
38 W. Lykke
15 E. Marxen
45 N. Markmann

Coach: J. Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.