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Superligaen
Referee: Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen
Nordsjaelland
U T S T T
3–2
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 52%
48%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
41%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · FC Copenhagen 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 27 15 4 8 +23 49
2 Nordsjaelland 27 13 8 6 +16 47
3 Aarhus 28 13 7 8 +10 46
4 Viborg 28 13 7 8 +8 46
5 Midtjylland 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Randers FC 28 10 10 8 -1 40
7 Brondby 28 11 6 11 -6 39
8 Odense 28 10 9 9 -9 39
9 Silkeborg 28 8 7 13 -8 31
10 Horsens 28 7 6 15 -21 27
11 Aalborg 28 6 8 14 -7 26
12 Lyngby 28 5 9 14 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen
12′
🟨 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
1–0 M. Frese
M. Diomandé
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Sørensen
↦ P. Ankersen
57′
🟨 Denis Vavro
59′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ V. Claesson
2–0 D. Svensson
59′
60′
🔁 L. Lerager
↦ R. Falk
W. Faghir 🔁
↦ M. Frese
65′
71′
K. Hansen 3–0
own goal
E. Marxen 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
74′
83′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ D. Vavro
83′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ H. Haraldsson
86′
🟨 Kevin Diks
4–0 E. Nuamah
W. Faghir
88′
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ M. Diomandé
91′
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
91′
94′
🟨 Kevin Diks
94′
🟥 Kevin Diks
Daniel Svensson 🟨
97′
98′
Diogo Gonçalves 4–1
Emiliano Marcondes 🟨
99′
99′
🟨 Elias Jelert
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
18 M. Bidstrup M
6 J. Christensen M
27 D. Svensson M
37 E. Nuamah F
9 B. Nygren F
10 M. Diomandé F
Bench (9)
21 W. Faghir
15 E. Marxen
8 E. Marcondes
28 L. Coulibaly
29 M. Dorgeles
25 C. Eriksson
11 M. Hansen
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
32 I. Osman

Coach: J. Thorup

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
22 P. Ankersen D
3 D. Vavro D
2 K. Diks D
19 E. Jelert
33 R. Falk M
36 W. Clem M
7 V. Claesson M
25 J. Larsson F
30 H. Haraldsson F
15 M. Daramy F
Bench (9)
6 C. Sørensen
9 Diogo Gonçalves
12 L. Lerager
35 M. Stamenić
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
17 P. Mukairu
46 N. Sahsah
21 K. Johnsson
40 R. Bardghji

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.