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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Aarhus
S T T S S
2–2
Full-time
Silkeborg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,61 xG 2,14
59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Silkeborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 4 0 0 +12 +1.8 12
2 FC Copenhagen 4 4 0 0 +7 +4.1 12
3 Midtjylland 4 3 0 1 +1 +2.6 9
4 Brondby 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.7 6
5 Aarhus 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.7 6
6 Lyngby 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.2 4
7 Odense 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.4 4
8 Viborg 3 1 1 1 -2 4
9 Silkeborg 3 1 0 2 -2 +2.2 3
10 Randers FC 4 0 2 2 -9 -0.4 2
11 Hvidovre IF 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.5 1
12 Vejle 4 0 0 4 -4 -7.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Silkeborg
1–0 P. Mortensen
M. Anderson
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Tengstedt
↦ F. Carlsen
M. Duelund 🔁
↦ T. Bech
63′
Thomas Kristensen 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Tobias Salquist
68′
🔁 S. Þórðarson
↦ P. Mattsson
68′
🔁 K. Kusk
↦ C. McCowatt
J. Serra 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
70′
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
71′
76′
🔁 L. Musonda
↦ R. Østrøm
76′
🔁 A. Lind
↦ A. Klynge
85′
🟨 Tonni Adamsen
M. Akoto 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
89′
91′
A. Lind 1–1
94′
S. Tengstedt 1–2
T. Adamsen
Mikael Anderson 🟨
95′
Mikkel Duelund ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
98′
101′
🟨 Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
2–2 M. Anderson
102′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
45 B. Peacock-Farrell G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
23 T. Kristensen D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
15 M. Knudsen M
19 E. Kahl M
31 T. Bech F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
20 M. Duelund
13 J. Serra
27 M. Akoto
21 P. Bjur
28 A. Daghim
30 M. Sauer
4 T. Anker
24 Z. Duncan
1 J. Hansen

Coach: U. Rösler

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
20 T. Salquist D
40 A. Busch D
3 R. Østrøm D
6 P. Mattsson M
14 M. Brink M
21 A. Klynge M
17 C. McCowatt M
11 F. Carlsen M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (9)
10 S. Tengstedt
8 S. Þórðarson
7 K. Kusk
24 L. Musonda
9 A. Lind
4 J. Felix
22 A. Pyndt
18 A. Dahl
16 J. Pryts

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.