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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Cagliari
S S U T T
0–0
Full-time
Udinese
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,59 xG 0,75
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 19. · Udinese 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +12 +7.1 12
2 Juventus 4 3 1 0 +7 +5.3 10
3 Milan 4 3 0 1 +2 +1.8 9
4 Napoli 4 2 1 1 +3 +4.4 7
5 Lecce 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.5 7
6 Atalanta 3 2 0 1 +4 +2.7 6
7 Verona 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.1 6
8 Fiorentina 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.5 4
9 Bologna 3 1 1 1 -1 +1.7 4
10 Frosinone 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.4 4
11 Torino 3 1 1 1 -2 -1.7 4
12 Genoa 4 1 1 2 -3 -1.7 4
13 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -2 -3.2 3
14 Lazio 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.4 3
15 Monza 3 1 0 2 -3 -1.8 3
16 Salernitana 3 0 2 1 -2 -2.8 2
17 Udinese 3 0 2 1 -3 -0.7 2
18 Roma 3 0 1 2 -2 +1.6 1
19 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.7 1
20 Empoli 3 0 0 3 -5 -3.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Udinese
38′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ C. Kabasele
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Guessand
↦ E. Ebosse
Mateusz Wieteska 🟨
59′
E. Shomurodov 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
60′
63′
🟨 Florian Thauvin
Paulo Azzi 🔁
↦ T. Augello
66′
72′
🔁 João Ferreira
↦ F. Ebosele
72′
🔁 M. Payero
↦ S. Lovrić
N. Nández 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
79′
A. Obert 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
80′
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ M. Prati
80′
82′
🔁 R. Pereyra
↦ F. Thauvin
Mateusz Wieteska 🟨
95′
Mateusz Wieteska 🟥
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
23 M. Wieteska D
4 A. Dossena D
17 P. Hatzidiakos D
28 G. Zappa M
29 A. Makoumbou M
16 M. Prati M
14 A. Deiola M
27 T. Augello M
30 L. Pavoletti F
77 Zito Luvumbo F
Bench (13)
61 E. Shomurodov
37 Paulo Azzi
8 N. Nández
33 A. Obert
99 A. Di Pardo
25 I. Sulemana
5 M. Mancosu
19 G. Oristanio
10 N. Viola
22 S. Scuffet
18 S. Aresti
3 E. Goldaniga
21 J. Jankto

Coach: C. Ranieri

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
18 N. Pérez D
29 J. Bijol D
27 C. Kabasele D
2 F. Ebosele M
24 L. Samardžić M
11 Walace M
4 S. Lovrić M
12 H. Kamara M
17 L. Lucca F
26 F. Thauvin F
Bench (15)
23 E. Ebosse
5 A. Guessand
13 João Ferreira
32 M. Payero
37 R. Pereyra
80 S. Pafundi
15 M. Aké
8 Domingos Quina
31 T. Kristensen
21 E. Camara
7 I. Success
72 J. Malusà
6 Oier Zarraga
33 J. Zemura
40 M. Okoye

Coach: A. Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U ✓
3,26
B
2,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.