Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cagliari
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +12 | +7.1 | 12 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | +5.3 | 10 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | +1.8 | 9 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +4.4 | 7 |
| 5 |
Lecce
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +2.7 | 6 |
| 7 |
Verona
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -2.1 | 6 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.5 | 4 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +1.7 | 4 |
| 10 |
Frosinone
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.4 | 4 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sassuolo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3.2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Lazio
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.4 | 3 |
| 15 |
Monza
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -1.8 | 3 |
| 16 |
Salernitana
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -2.8 | 2 |
| 17 |
Udinese
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -0.7 | 2 |
| 18 |
Roma
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +1.6 | 1 |
| 19 |
Cagliari
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -2.7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Empoli
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -3.2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Radunović
G
M. Wieteska
D
A. Dossena
D
P. Hatzidiakos
D
G. Zappa
M
A. Makoumbou
M
M. Prati
M
A. Deiola
M
T. Augello
M
Zito Luvumbo
F
Coach: C. Ranieri
N. Pérez
D
J. Bijol
D
C. Kabasele
D
F. Ebosele
M
L. Samardžić
M
S. Lovrić
M
H. Kamara
M
L. Lucca
F
F. Thauvin
F
Coach: A. Sottil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bologna
Cagliari
Cagliari
Inter
Torino
Cagliari
Cagliari
Palermo
Bari
Cagliari
D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.