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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Valerenga
S U U U U
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 17%
20%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
60%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
43%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,47 xG 1,95
57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 21 15 3 3 +20 +5.4 48
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 14 4 3 +26 +10.9 46
3 Tromso 21 14 3 4 +11 +4.1 45
4 Molde 21 12 4 5 +24 +13.0 40
5 Brann 21 12 3 6 +13 +0.9 39
6 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 3 9 +5 +0.9 33
7 Lillestrom 21 10 3 8 +4 +5.3 33
8 Rosenborg 22 8 5 9 -3 +1.7 29
9 Odd 22 8 5 9 -3 -1.4 29
10 Stromsgodset 21 8 2 11 -3 -3.2 26
11 Ham-Kam 21 7 2 12 -15 -10.2 23
12 Sandefjord 21 5 6 10 -8 -10.7 21
13 Haugesund 22 5 5 12 -14 -7.4 20
14 Valerenga 20 4 6 10 -8 -4.1 18
15 Stabaek 20 4 4 12 -15 -2.2 16
16 Aalesund 21 3 2 16 -34 -3.0 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Aalesund
7′
🟨 Henrik Melland
13′
M. Ramsland 0–1
I. Atanga
1–1 A. Ilić
M. Ofkir
17′
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–1
M. Kreuzriegler 🔁
↦ A. Hammer Kjelsen
46′
46′
🔁 D. Fällman
↦ S. Haram
2–1 E. Hagen
M. Riisnæs
50′
3–1 A. Ilić
M. Riisnæs
54′
59′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ I. Atanga
59′
🔁 N. Hopland
↦ H. Melland
80′
🔁 E. Kolve
↦ M. Ramsland
T. Børven 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
82′
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
82′
86′
🟨 Erlend Segberg
J. Eng 🔁
↦ A. Ilić
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

3-5-2
1 J. Storevik G
33 E. Bitri D
4 S. Strandberg D
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen D
2 C. Borchgrevink M
24 P. Strand M
15 E. Hagen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
20 M. Riisnæs M
10 M. Ofkir F
19 A. Ilić F
Bench (9)
23 M. Kreuzriegler
9 T. Børven
18 S. Juklerød
17 J. Eng
14 A. Kiil Olsen
31 O. Drammeh
21 M. Sjøeng
29 Vitinho
11 D. Håkans

Coach: G. Bakke

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
23 E. Frøysa D
21 A. Diop D
33 S. Haram D
25 J. Kitolano D
37 H. Melland M
6 E. Segberg M
22 M. Karlsbakk M
29 B. Kristensen F
18 M. Ramsland F
19 I. Atanga F
Bench (7)
5 D. Fällman
27 M. Diop
4 N. Hopland
40 E. Kolve
13 M. Lansing
7 T. Klysner
2 T. Murray

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.