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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
Brondby
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Aarhus
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
46%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
54%
29%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 9. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 25 15 3 7 +24 48
2 Nordsjaelland 24 13 7 4 +18 46
3 Viborg 25 11 7 7 +8 40
4 Aarhus 24 11 6 7 +7 39
5 Randers FC 24 9 9 6 -1 36
6 Midtjylland 25 8 11 6 +6 35
7 Odense 25 9 7 9 -10 34
8 Silkeborg 25 8 6 11 -4 30
9 Brondby 24 8 6 10 -6 30
10 Horsens 25 7 5 13 -15 26
11 Lyngby 25 4 8 13 -15 20
12 Aalborg 25 4 7 14 -12 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Aarhus
1–0 S. Sebulonsen
37′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ M. Anderson
63′
🔁 M. Duelund
↦ N. Poulsen
63′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ G. Links
C. Cappis 🔁
↦ S. Hedlund
64′
J. Radošević 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
79′
K. Tshiembe 🔁
↦ D. Wass
79′
B. Riveros 🔁
↦ K. Mensah
80′
82′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ T. Mølgaard
86′
🟨 Peter Bjur
C. Björk 🔁
↦ N. Vallys
87′
88′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ Kevin Yakob
91′
🟨 Adam Daghim
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brondby

4-3-3
1 M. Hermansen G
2 S. Sebulonsen D
5 R. Lauritsen D
4 F. Winther D
14 K. Mensah D
10 D. Wass M
6 J. Bell M
7 N. Vallys M
11 H. Evjen F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
27 S. Hedlund F
Bench (9)
23 C. Cappis
22 J. Radošević
18 K. Tshiembe
15 B. Riveros
12 C. Björk
16 T. Mikkelsen
41 O. Schwartau
24 M. Divković
32 F. Alves

Coach: J. Sørensen

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
17 Kevin Yakob F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
21 P. Bjur
20 M. Duelund
19 E. Kahl
10 S. Haugen
28 A. Daghim
42 J. Andersen
29 F. Brandhof
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
43 D. Herrington

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob A Sundberg · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.