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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Nordsjaelland
S T U S S
3–1
Full-time
Brondby
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 0,84
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · Brondby 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +6 +3.3 9
2 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Aarhus 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.7 6
4 Midtjylland 3 2 0 1 +0 +1.2 6
5 Lyngby 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Odense 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
7 Brondby 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
8 Silkeborg 3 1 0 2 -2 +2.2 3
9 Randers FC 3 0 2 1 -4 +0.6 2
10 Viborg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
11 Hvidovre IF 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.5 1
12 Vejle 3 0 0 3 -3 -5.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Brondby
37′
N. Vallys 0–1
O. Omoijuanfo
Half-time 0–1
Mohammed Diomande 🟨
47′
1–1 M. Ingvartsen
I. Osman
52′
54′
🟨 Josip Radošević
56′
🟨 Henrik Heggheim
O. Antman 🔁
↦ I. Osman
66′
J. Jensen-Abbew 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
71′
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
71′
2–1 E. Nuamah
74′
77′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ J. Radošević
3–1 M. Frese
E. Nuamah
80′
81′
🔁 J. Bell
↦ H. Heggheim
81′
🔁 M. Divković
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
Z. Sertdemir 🔁
↦ J. Tverskov
87′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
87′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.