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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Espanol
U S S S S
3–3
Full-time
Eldense
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
23 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 2. · Eldense 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Levante 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Santander 6 2 3 1 +3 9
7 Ferrol 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Amorebieta 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Albacete 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Mirandes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Burgos 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Andorra 5 2 0 3 -3 6
16 Eibar 6 2 0 4 -4 6
17 Elche 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Villarreal B 6 1 2 3 -2 5
19 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Huesca 6 0 4 2 -4 4
21 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
22 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Eldense
8′
🟨 Sergio Ortuño Díaz
10′
Mario Soberón 0–1
15′
Iván Chapela 0–2
Marc Mateu
Omar El Hilali 🟨
25′
Fernando Calero 🟨
30′
45′
🟨 Toni Abad
Half-time 0–2
K. Bare 🔁
↦ Salvi
46′
47′
🟨 Dario Đumić
1–2 M. Braithwaite
Edu Expósito
50′
51′
F. Andone 1–3
Mario Soberón
58′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ Mario Soberón
2–3 Javi Puado
Nico Melamed
59′
Brian Oliván 🔁
↦ Ramon
60′
68′
🔁 Y. Didi
↦ F. Andone
68′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ Marc Mateu
Jofre Carreras 🔁
↦ Pol Lozano
69′
77′
🟨 Iván Chapela
79′
🔁 Joel Jorquera
↦ Iván Chapela
José Carlos Lazo 🔁
↦ Edu Expósito
88′
Keidi Bare 🟨
100′
3–3 Javi Puado
104′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Fernando Pacheco G
31 O. El Hilali D
5 Fernando Calero D
6 L. Cabrera D
12 Ramon D
19 Salvi M
10 Pol Lozano M
20 Edu Expósito M
21 Nico Melamed M
22 M. Braithwaite F
7 Javi Puado F
Bench (11)
8 K. Bare
14 Brian Oliván
17 Jofre Carreras
16 José Carlos Lazo
3 Sergi Gómez
18 Álvaro Aguado
1 Joan García
29 Antoniu Roca
2 Óscar Gil
33 Ángel Fortuño
15 José Gragera

Coach: Luis García

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Guille Vallejo G
2 Toni Abad D
4 D. Đumić D
6 Carlos Hernández D
12 Derick Poloni D
20 Iván Chapela M
8 Sergio Ortu M
24 David Timor M
23 Marc Mateu M
9 Mario Soberón F
7 F. Andone F
Bench (12)
27 E. Salcedo
16 Y. Didi
21 Álex Bernal
19 Joel Jorquera
17 Jesús Clemente
5 Piña
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
10 Cris Montes
11 Juanto
29 Arnau Ortiz
14 Miguel Llambrich
18 Pedro Capó

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U ✓
4,02
B
7,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.