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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
AZ Alkmaar
S S U U S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
3,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,53 xG 0,71
53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Sparta Rotterdam 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +12 +7.2 12
2 Twente 4 4 0 0 +9 +3.9 12
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +14 +10.8 11
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 +8 +3.5 9
5 For Sittard 5 2 3 0 +3 +3.3 9
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.1 8
7 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 +0 -3.3 7
8 Zwolle 5 2 1 2 -1 +2.6 7
9 Excelsior 5 1 3 1 -1 -2.7 6
10 Heracles 4 2 0 2 -2 -2.3 6
11 Heerenveen 5 2 0 3 -4 -5.8 6
12 Ajax 4 1 2 1 +1 +1.3 5
13 Nijmegen 5 1 1 3 -3 -6.4 4
14 Vitesse 4 1 0 3 -5 -2.3 3
15 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 -7 -4.4 3
16 Waalwijk 5 1 0 4 -9 +1.1 3
17 Almere City 5 0 1 4 -10 -3.5 1
18 Volendam 4 0 0 4 -8 -3.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 D. de Wit
J. Clasie
18′
2–0 V. Pavlidis
D. de Wit
19′
38′
🟨 Arno Verschueren
43′
🟨 Saïd Bakari
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. van der Kust
↦ D. Warmerdam
69′
🔁 C. Brym
↦ J. de Guzmán
E. Poku 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
72′
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
72′
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ M. Lahdo
72′
81′
🟨 Djevencio van der Kust
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
82′
85′
🔁 Metinho
↦ J. Kitolano
85′
🔁 C. Neghli
↦ A. Verschueren
85′
🔁 A. Anello
↦ K. Saito
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
23 M. Lahdo M
10 D. de Wit M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (10)
21 E. Poku
7 J. Odgaard
11 I. Sadiq
28 K. Goudmijn
33 W. Goes
30 D. Kasius
12 H. Verhulst
15 R. van Bommel
31 D. Deen
14 D. Mihailović

Coach: P. Jansen

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Bakari D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Velthuis D
5 D. Warmerdam D
6 J. de Guzmán M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 P. Clement M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 K. Saito M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (10)
15 D. van der Kust
19 C. Brym
14 Metinho
16 C. Neghli
18 A. Anello
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
30 D. van Crooij
13 R. Meissen
12 D. van Wageningen
17 Pedro Alemañ

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,37
B
5,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.