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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Getafe

U U T S T

3–2

Full-time

Osasuna

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,50 xG 1,13

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 11

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Getafe 15. · Osasuna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+9	+7.3	13
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+3.7	12
3	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+5	+5.0	10
4	Girona	4	3	1	0	+5	+0.8	10
5	Valencia	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.4	9
6	Vallecano	5	3	0	2	-2	+1.0	9
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+6	+2.9	7
8	Cadiz	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.4	7
9	Betis	5	2	1	2	-5	-3.9	7
10	Sociedad	4	1	3	0	+2	+1.1	6
11	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.0	6
12	Alaves	5	2	0	3	-2	-2.1	6
13	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.5	5
14	Celta	5	1	1	3	-3	-0.6	4
15	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.5	4
16	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
17	Granada	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.2	3
18	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.2	1
20	Sevilla	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.5	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.9	6
3	Girona	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
5	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.6	6
6	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
7	Sociedad	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
8	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.0	4
9	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
10	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
11	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
12	Granada	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
13	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-5	-1.0	3
14	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
16	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
18	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.5	0
19	Celta	3	0	0	3	-4	+0.5	0
20	Almeria	3	0	0	3	-5	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.3	9
2	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.4	7
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
4	Vallecano	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.0	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+4	+1.5	4
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Celta	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
8	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.3	4
10	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
11	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.9	3
13	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
17	Granada	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.1	0
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.1	0
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.9	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.