OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fredrikstad
|
22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | +17 | 45 |
| 2 |
KFUM Oslo
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 41 |
| 3 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 4 |
Start
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 34 |
| 6 |
Ranheim
|
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 33 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Bryne
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |
Kristiansund
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 10 |
Sandnes ULF
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 11 |
Moss
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 |
hodd
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 23 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -27 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
hodd
Kongsvinger
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.