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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Bodding
Fredrikstad
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 52%
55%
48%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
41%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 1. · Sogndal 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 22 12 9 1 +17 45
2 KFUM Oslo 23 12 5 6 +12 41
3 Kongsvinger 22 12 3 7 +10 39
4 Start 23 10 8 5 +14 38
5 Sogndal 21 10 4 7 +4 34
6 Ranheim 23 10 3 10 -13 33
7 Raufoss 23 9 5 9 +3 32
8 Bryne 21 9 4 8 +5 31
9 Kristiansund 20 8 6 6 +6 30
10 Sandnes ULF 22 8 5 9 +5 29
11 Moss 22 7 6 9 -7 27
12 Jerv 23 7 5 11 -13 26
13 Asane 22 5 8 9 -3 23
14 hodd 21 6 5 10 -6 23
15 Mjondalen 22 6 5 11 -7 23
16 Skeid 22 2 5 15 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Sogndal
8′
P. Aukland 1–0
own goal
2–0 O. Aga
30′
Half-time 2–0
B. Skaret 🔁
↦ M. Nielsen
46′
A. Konte 🔁
↦ B. Hendriksson
55′
57′
🟨 A. Hoven
3–0 P. Aukland
61′
62′
🔁 Ó. Borgþórsson
↦ I. Twum
T. Björkström 🔁
↦ P. Aukland
75′
H. Åsheim 🔁
↦ S. Sørløkk
76′
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ S. Molde
76′
81′
🔁 E. Flataker
↦ V. Ingimundarson
J. Bjartalid 🟨
87′
H. Jensen 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.