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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Randers FC
T U U S U
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
45%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Randers FC 6. · Aarhus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 21 11 7 3 +17 40
2 FC Copenhagen 21 12 3 6 +22 39
3 Viborg 21 10 7 4 +8 37
4 Brondby 21 8 6 7 -1 30
5 Aarhus 20 8 5 7 +4 29
6 Randers FC 20 7 8 5 -2 29
7 Silkeborg 21 8 4 9 -1 28
8 Odense 21 7 7 7 -10 28
9 Midtjylland 21 6 9 6 +3 27
10 Horsens 21 6 4 11 -11 22
11 Aalborg 21 3 6 12 -14 15
12 Lyngby 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Randers FC Aarhus
Carl Johansson 🟨
16′
Björn Kopplin 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–0
A. Andersson 🔁
↦ M. Kallesøe
46′
47′
M. Duelund 0–1
N. Poulsen
53′
P. Mortensen 0–2
E. Babayan 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
57′
S. Odey 🔁
↦ F. Bundgaard
57′
Stephen Odey 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ G. Links
69′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ M. Duelund
75′
🔁 M. Emil Madsen
↦ Kevin Yakob
A. Kamara 🔁
↦ M. Egho
76′
T. Klysner 🔁
↦ J. Ankersen
80′
Carl Johansson 🟨
82′
Carl Johansson 🟥
82′
1–2 A. Kamara
E. Babayan
87′
93′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ M. Anderson
94′
🟨 Felix Beijmo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Randers FC

4-4-2
1 P. Carlgren G
7 M. Kallesøe D
4 C. Johansson D
3 D. Høegh D
15 B. Kopplin D
17 S. Nordli M
6 L. Johnsen M
12 M. Pedersen M
9 J. Ankersen M
45 M. Egho F
40 F. Bundgaard F
Bench (9)
8 A. Andersson
11 E. Babayan
90 S. Odey
99 A. Kamara
18 T. Klysner
16 M. Enggård
22 A. Nybo
5 H. Andersson
42 S. Hansen

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 Kevin Yakob M
11 G. Links M
20 M. Duelund F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
10 S. Haugen
7 M. Emil Madsen
21 P. Bjur
28 A. Daghim
43 D. Herrington
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
42 J. Andersen
29 F. Brandhof

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.