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LaLiga2

Referee: E Mallo

Castellon

T T T U U

2–0

Full-time

Almeria

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 49%

44%

53%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

47%

72%

Both score Ø 64%

56%

72%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

19 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 7. · Almeria 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	33	19	5	9	+18	-4.2	62
2	La Coruna	33	17	8	8	+15	+2.4	59
3	Almeria	32	17	7	8	+20	+5.1	58
4	Malaga	33	16	8	9	+15	+6.3	56
5	Las Palmas	33	14	12	7	+16	+2.4	54
6	Burgos	33	15	9	9	+11	+4.1	54
7	Castellon	32	14	9	9	+12	+3.7	51
8	Eibar	32	13	9	10	+5	+5.3	48
9	Ceuta	33	14	6	13	-10	-9.6	48
10	Sp Gijon	33	13	7	13	+1	+1.1	46
11	Albacete	33	11	11	11	-1	+1.8	44
12	Andorra	33	11	10	12	-1	+2.2	43
13	Granada	33	10	12	11	+3	+0.5	42
14	Cordoba	33	11	9	13	-8	+2.5	42
15	Sociedad B	32	11	7	14	-3	-8.4	40
16	Valladolid	33	10	9	14	-7	+2.2	39
17	Leganes	32	9	11	12	+2	+3.1	38
18	Cadiz	33	10	8	15	-12	-6.5	38
19	Zaragoza	32	8	9	15	-14	-0.2	33
20	Huesca	33	8	8	17	-17	-0.5	32
21	Mirandes	33	7	8	18	-20	-4.3	29
22	Cultural Leonesa	33	7	8	18	-25	-9.1	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	17	11	4	2	+16	+8.3	37
2	Malaga	17	10	6	1	+16	+5.3	36
3	Almeria	16	11	2	3	+18	+6.7	35
4	Santander	17	11	2	4	+14	+0.2	35
5	Ceuta	16	11	1	4	+7	+0.4	34
6	Las Palmas	17	9	5	3	+15	+3.2	32
7	Castellon	15	9	3	3	+12	+0.8	30
8	Burgos	17	8	6	3	+11	+5.4	30
9	Sp Gijon	17	8	6	3	+8	+2.0	30
10	La Coruna	16	8	4	4	+6	+1.4	28
11	Sociedad B	16	7	5	4	+5	-1.9	26
12	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+0	+1.1	24
13	Granada	17	5	8	4	+6	+3.5	23
14	Valladolid	17	6	4	7	+1	+4.0	22
15	Cordoba	16	6	4	6	-2	+1.1	22
16	Albacete	16	6	4	6	-4	-0.4	22
17	Andorra	16	5	6	5	+0	+2.9	21
18	Cadiz	16	6	2	8	-5	-1.0	20
19	Leganes	15	5	4	6	+3	+7.5	19
20	Zaragoza	16	4	5	7	-7	+2.9	17
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-11	-1.3	16
22	Cultural Leonesa	16	2	4	10	-16	+2.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	17	9	4	4	+9	+1.0	31
2	Santander	16	8	3	5	+4	-4.4	27
3	Burgos	16	7	3	6	+0	-1.3	24
4	Almeria	16	6	5	5	+2	-1.6	23
5	Albacete	17	5	7	5	+3	+2.2	22
6	Las Palmas	16	5	7	4	+1	-0.8	22
7	Andorra	17	6	4	7	-1	-0.6	22
8	Castellon	17	5	6	6	+0	+2.9	21
9	Malaga	16	6	2	8	-1	+0.9	20
10	Cordoba	17	5	5	7	-6	+1.4	20
11	Leganes	17	4	7	6	-1	-4.4	19
12	Granada	16	5	4	7	-3	-3.0	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	17	5	4	8	-9	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-7	-5.5	18
15	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-8	-1.9	17
16	Sp Gijon	16	5	1	10	-7	-0.9	16
17	Zaragoza	16	4	4	8	-7	-3.2	16
18	Sociedad B	16	4	2	10	-8	-6.5	14
19	Ceuta	17	3	5	9	-17	-10.0	14
20	Mirandes	16	3	4	9	-9	-3.1	13
21	Eibar	15	2	5	8	-11	-3.1	11
22	Huesca	16	2	2	12	-17	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.