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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Dender

U T T S T

1–4

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 22%

12%

31%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

58%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,84 xG 3,04

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Cercle Brugge 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	22	18	1	3	+23	+10.7	55
2	St. Gilloise	22	15	7	0	+28	+22.6	52
3	St Truiden	23	13	3	7	+10	+15.2	42
4	Mechelen	23	10	8	5	+9	-6.5	38
5	Gent	22	11	4	7	+6	+3.2	37
6	Genk	22	10	6	6	+6	+7.3	36
7	Anderlecht	23	9	6	8	+4	+2.6	33
8	Cercle Brugge	26	8	7	11	-2	+0.3	31
9	Antwerp	23	8	5	10	+2	-2.4	29
10	Standard	23	8	5	10	-11	-10.8	29
11	Westerlo	23	7	7	9	-5	+0.7	28
12	Waregem	26	8	4	14	-9	-5.5	28
13	Charleroi	23	6	4	13	-8	-2.8	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	5	7	11	-13	-7.7	22
15	RAAL La Louviere	26	4	10	12	-13	-10.0	22
16	Dender	26	3	6	17	-27	-16.9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	11	0	0	+22	+12.4	33
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	11	7	0	4	+1	+6.9	21
4	Gent	11	6	2	3	+8	+0.4	20
5	Genk	11	5	3	3	+4	+6.7	18
6	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
7	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
8	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
9	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.6	16
10	Westerlo	12	4	3	5	+0	+1.9	15
11	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.7	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	6	5	-5	-2.9	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	11	1	5	5	-8	-3.3	8
16	Dender	13	1	2	10	-17	-7.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	10	0	1	+13	+6.5	30
2	Mechelen	11	6	4	1	+8	-3.9	22
3	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
4	St Truiden	12	6	3	3	+9	+8.2	21
5	Standard	12	7	0	5	-3	-7.4	21
6	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
7	Genk	11	5	3	3	+2	+0.6	18
8	Gent	11	5	2	4	-2	+2.8	17
9	Anderlecht	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.6	17
10	Westerlo	11	3	4	4	-5	-1.3	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-11	-6.3	12
12	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	-1	-3.9	11
13	Waregem	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.9	11
14	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
15	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
16	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.