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LaLiga2

Referee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez

Malaga

S U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Almeria

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,18 xG 1,63

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 12. · Almeria 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	19	11	4	4	+15	+0.2	37
2	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+12	+0.6	34
3	La Coruna	19	9	5	5	+11	+2.7	32
4	Almeria	18	9	5	4	+10	+0.4	32
5	Castellon	18	9	4	5	+8	+3.2	31
6	Sp Gijon	19	9	3	7	+0	+1.1	30
7	Burgos	18	8	4	6	+6	+1.5	28
8	Cadiz	18	7	6	5	-1	-0.8	27
9	Ceuta	18	7	5	6	-3	-3.2	26
10	Valladolid	19	6	6	7	+1	+3.9	24
11	Andorra	19	6	6	7	-5	-1.2	24
12	Malaga	18	6	5	7	+1	-1.3	23
13	Cordoba	18	5	8	5	-1	+0.6	23
14	Huesca	19	6	5	8	-6	+1.3	23
15	Cultural Leonesa	19	7	2	10	-8	-6.3	23
16	Albacete	18	6	4	8	-6	-0.7	22
17	Sociedad B	18	6	3	9	+0	+0.7	21
18	Eibar	19	5	6	8	-3	+0.1	21
19	Granada	18	4	8	6	-3	-0.1	20
20	Leganes	19	4	8	7	-3	+1.3	20
21	Mirandes	18	4	4	10	-11	-0.7	16
22	Zaragoza	18	4	4	10	-14	-3.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.4	20
2	Las Palmas	10	6	2	2	+9	+0.8	20
3	Ceuta	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.4	19
4	Eibar	10	5	3	2	+8	+3.0	18
5	Sociedad B	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.4	18
6	Sp Gijon	10	5	3	2	+3	+1.5	18
7	Almeria	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.5	17
8	Castellon	9	5	2	2	+5	+1.5	17
9	Malaga	9	4	4	1	+7	-1.1	16
10	Huesca	10	4	4	2	+1	+0.0	16
11	La Coruna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.4	15
12	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	+0	+1.3	14
13	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.8	12
14	Burgos	9	3	3	3	+2	+2.1	12
15	Andorra	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
16	Cordoba	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.2	12
17	Granada	9	2	4	3	+0	+2.3	10
18	Albacete	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.2	10
19	Cultural Leonesa	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.3	8
20	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-9	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-5	+1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	10	5	2	3	+7	+0.3	17
2	Santander	9	5	2	2	+4	-0.2	17
3	Burgos	9	5	1	3	+4	-0.6	16
4	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+3	-2.1	15
5	Cultural Leonesa	10	5	0	5	-3	-6.6	15
6	Castellon	9	4	2	3	+3	+1.7	14
7	Las Palmas	9	3	5	1	+3	-0.1	14
8	Leganes	10	3	5	2	+2	+0.2	14
9	Cadiz	9	3	4	2	-1	-2.1	13
10	Albacete	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	-1	+0.1	12
12	Sp Gijon	9	4	0	5	-3	-0.3	12
13	Andorra	10	3	3	4	-5	-0.7	12
14	Cordoba	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.8	11
15	Granada	9	2	4	3	-3	-2.4	10
16	Mirandes	10	2	3	5	-3	-0.2	9
17	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-5	-3.1	8
18	Malaga	9	2	1	6	-6	-0.1	7
19	Huesca	9	2	1	6	-7	+1.3	7
20	Ceuta	9	1	4	4	-8	-2.8	7
21	Sociedad B	9	1	0	8	-7	+0.3	3
22	Eibar	9	0	3	6	-11	-2.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.