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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myc

Arka Gdynia

S U T S U

0–3

Full-time

Jagiellonia

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 36%

32%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

61%

64%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,89 xG 1,21

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arka Gdynia 16. · Jagiellonia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	29	13	10	6	+10	+23.0	49
2	Gornik Zabrze	29	13	7	9	+8	-4.3	46
3	Wisla Plock	29	12	9	8	+5	-1.0	45
4	Zaglebie	29	12	8	9	+8	-6.2	44
5	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	+9	-2.6	43
6	Rakow	29	12	7	10	+5	+8.9	43
7	GKS Katowice	29	13	4	12	+2	-5.8	43
8	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	6	10	+4	+5.2	42
9	Motor Lublin	29	9	12	8	-4	-8.4	39
10	Radomiak Radom	29	9	10	10	+2	+1.1	37
11	Legia	29	8	13	8	+2	+4.7	37
12	Korona Kielce	29	10	7	12	+1	-3.4	37
13	Cracovia	29	9	10	10	-3	+1.8	37
14	Pogon Szczecin	29	11	4	14	-5	+4.2	37
15	Piast Gliwice	28	10	5	13	-4	-3.1	35
16	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	-17	-7.9	34
17	Widzew Lodz	29	9	6	14	-3	+4.1	33
18	Nieciecza	29	6	7	16	-20	-10.2	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
2	GKS Katowice	15	9	2	4	+7	-0.4	29
3	Arka Gdynia	14	8	5	1	+7	-2.6	29
4	Radomiak Radom	15	8	4	3	+15	+10.3	28
5	Lechia Gdansk	14	8	3	3	+13	+6.2	27
6	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+6	+2.0	27
7	Zaglebie	14	7	5	2	+13	+2.0	26
8	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	2	5	+6	+6.0	26
9	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
10	Legia	15	6	6	3	+6	+4.5	24
11	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+6	+12.9	23
12	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
13	Rakow	14	6	4	4	+5	+4.8	22
14	Widzew Lodz	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.2	22
15	Korona Kielce	14	6	3	5	+5	+4.3	21
16	Cracovia	14	5	6	3	+4	+6.2	21
17	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	-1	+2.1	18
18	Nieciecza	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+4	+10.1	26
2	Rakow	15	6	3	6	+0	+4.1	21
3	Jagiellonia	14	4	7	3	+0	-6.1	19
4	Wisla Plock	15	4	6	5	-1	-3.0	18
5	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
6	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.2	17
7	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
8	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-7	-4.4	16
9	Motor Lublin	14	4	4	6	-8	-9.4	16
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	6	5	-7	-7.8	15
11	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
12	GKS Katowice	14	4	2	8	-5	-5.4	14
13	Legia	14	2	7	5	-4	+0.2	13
14	Nieciecza	14	3	3	8	-10	-6.6	12
15	Widzew Lodz	15	3	2	10	-6	-0.2	11
16	Pogon Szczecin	14	3	2	9	-11	-1.8	11
17	Radomiak Radom	14	1	6	7	-13	-9.2	9
18	Arka Gdynia	14	1	2	11	-24	-5.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.