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Süper Lig
Referee: O Aksu
Kasimpasa
U S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 0,22
45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 13. · Alanyaspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 30 22 5 3 +46 +31.1 71
2 Fenerbahce 30 19 10 1 +38 +31.9 67
3 Trabzonspor 29 19 7 3 +25 +8.3 64
4 Besiktas 29 16 7 6 +19 +24.6 55
5 Goztep 30 12 12 6 +10 +6.9 48
6 Buyuksehyr 29 13 8 8 +17 +6.0 47
7 Samsunspor 29 9 12 8 -4 +6.2 39
8 Rizespor 30 9 10 11 -1 -0.0 37
9 Konyaspor 30 9 10 11 -3 -0.8 37
10 Kocaelispor 30 9 9 12 -9 -1.6 36
11 Gaziantep 29 8 10 11 -11 -4.6 34
12 Alanyaspor 29 6 15 8 +1 -8.6 33
13 Kasimpasa 29 6 10 13 -13 -13.0 28
14 Antalyaspor 30 7 7 16 -19 -22.3 28
15 Genclerbirligi 30 6 7 17 -15 -18.9 25
16 Eyüpspor 30 6 7 17 -22 -19.3 25
17 Kayserispor 29 4 11 14 -33 -13.1 23
18 Karagumruk 30 5 5 20 -26 -12.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
12′
🟨 Ui-Jo Hwang
Adem Arous 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Ümit Akdağ
60′
🟨 Paulo Victor
1–0 I. C. Kahveci
60′
61′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ G. Yalcin
61′
🔁 Maestro
↦ G. Makouta
67′
🔁 Bruno Viana
↦ U. Akdag
E. Aydin 🔁
↦ M. Ben Ouanes
76′
78′
🟨 Bruno Viana
81′
🔁 E. Keskin
↦ Ruan
82′
🔁 S. Mounie
↦ I. Kaya
A. Kol 🔁
↦ F. Diabate
88′
K. Kanatsizkus 🔁
↦ A. Benedyczak
88′
Andri Baldursson 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gianniotis G
2 C. Winck D
20 N. Opoku D
4 A. Arous D
21 G. Frimpong D
8 Cafu M
16 A. F. Baldursson M
71 I. C. Kahveci M
34 F. Diabate M
12 M. Ben Ouanes M
19 A. Benedyczak F
Bench (10)
25 A. Yanar
23 C. Tosun
11 A. Kol
5 E. Aydin
6 B. Gultekin
33 E. Tasdemir
17 K. Kanatsizkus
77 P. Gueye
29 T. Aydin
30 A. T. Dagbasi

Coach: Shota Arveladze

Alanyaspor

3-4-3
48 Paulo Victor G
20 F. Aksoy D
3 N. Lima D
50 U. Akdag D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
42 G. Makouta M
17 N. Janvier M
11 Ruan M
27 I. Kaya F
10 G. Yalcin F
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (10)
1 E. Taskiran
14 I. Hagi
30 Bruno Viana
58 Maestro
8 E. Keskin
18 B. Mogultay
6 I. Celik
7 E. Karaca
9 S. Mounie
12 M. Elia

Coach: Joao Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,18
B
2,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Aksu · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.