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Süper Lig

Referee: G Hasova

Samsunspor

S S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Besiktas

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

55%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

59%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,09 xG 1,44

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 7

5 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 4

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 7. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	22	5	3	+46	+31.1	71
2	Fenerbahce	30	19	10	1	+38	+31.9	67
3	Trabzonspor	29	19	7	3	+25	+8.3	64
4	Besiktas	29	16	7	6	+19	+24.6	55
5	Goztep	30	12	12	6	+10	+6.9	48
6	Buyuksehyr	29	13	8	8	+17	+6.0	47
7	Samsunspor	29	9	12	8	-4	+6.2	39
8	Rizespor	30	9	10	11	-1	-0.0	37
9	Konyaspor	30	9	10	11	-3	-0.8	37
10	Kocaelispor	30	9	9	12	-9	-1.6	36
11	Gaziantep	29	8	10	11	-11	-4.6	34
12	Alanyaspor	30	6	15	9	+0	-9.0	33
13	Kasimpasa	30	7	10	13	-12	-12.6	31
14	Antalyaspor	30	7	7	16	-19	-22.3	28
15	Genclerbirligi	30	6	7	17	-15	-18.9	25
16	Eyüpspor	30	6	7	17	-22	-19.3	25
17	Kayserispor	29	4	11	14	-33	-13.1	23
18	Karagumruk	30	5	5	20	-26	-12.8	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	4	0	+27	+21.0	37
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	5	0	+19	+23.4	35
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+14	+7.4	31
4	Besiktas	15	9	3	3	+11	+16.4	30
5	Goztep	15	6	7	2	+7	+7.7	25
6	Buyuksehyr	15	6	6	3	+9	+1.4	24
7	Kocaelispor	16	6	5	5	+3	+7.0	23
8	Rizespor	15	7	2	6	+0	+6.5	23
9	Konyaspor	15	5	6	4	+4	+4.6	21
10	Alanyaspor	15	5	5	5	+5	-2.1	20
11	Genclerbirligi	15	5	4	6	-2	-1.4	19
12	Samsunspor	14	4	7	3	-2	+6.5	19
13	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	+3.1	17
14	Kasimpasa	15	4	5	6	-5	-0.3	17
15	Karagumruk	15	4	3	8	-7	-0.7	15
16	Antalyaspor	15	4	3	8	-12	-6.8	15
17	Eyüpspor	15	3	4	8	-9	-5.1	13
18	Kayserispor	14	3	3	8	-20	-2.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	1	3	+19	+10.1	34
2	Trabzonspor	15	10	3	2	+11	+0.9	33
3	Fenerbahce	15	9	5	1	+19	+8.5	32
4	Besiktas	14	7	4	3	+8	+8.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	14	7	2	5	+8	+4.6	23
6	Goztep	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
7	Samsunspor	15	5	5	5	-2	-0.2	20
8	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-6	-7.7	17
9	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-7	-5.3	16
10	Rizespor	15	2	8	5	-1	-6.6	14
11	Kasimpasa	15	3	5	7	-7	-12.4	14
12	Alanyaspor	15	1	10	4	-5	-6.9	13
13	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-7	-15.5	13
14	Kocaelispor	14	3	4	7	-12	-8.6	13
15	Eyüpspor	15	3	3	9	-13	-14.1	12
16	Kayserispor	15	1	8	6	-13	-10.5	11
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	15	1	2	12	-19	-12.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.