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LaLiga2
Referee: S Lax
Almeria
S U S T S
5–1
Full-time
Sociedad B
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Sociedad B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
52%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
45%
Both score Ø 62%
71%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5,02 xG 2,08
48% Possession 52%
29 Shots 18
10 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 3. · Sociedad B 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 32 18 5 9 +16 -4.2 59
2 La Coruna 32 16 8 8 +13 +2.4 56
3 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
4 Malaga 32 16 7 9 +15 +6.3 55
5 Burgos 32 15 8 9 +11 +4.1 53
6 Las Palmas 32 13 12 7 +14 +2.4 51
7 Castellon 32 14 9 9 +12 +3.7 51
8 Eibar 32 13 9 10 +5 +5.3 48
9 Ceuta 32 14 5 13 -10 -9.6 47
10 Sp Gijon 32 13 7 12 +3 +1.1 46
11 Albacete 32 11 10 11 -1 +1.8 43
12 Granada 32 10 12 10 +5 +0.5 42
13 Andorra 32 11 9 12 -1 +2.2 42
14 Cordoba 32 11 9 12 -6 +2.5 42
15 Sociedad B 31 11 7 13 +1 -5.4 40
16 Leganes 32 9 11 12 +2 +3.1 38
17 Cadiz 32 10 8 14 -9 -6.5 38
18 Valladolid 32 9 9 14 -10 +2.2 36
19 Zaragoza 32 8 9 15 -14 -0.2 33
20 Huesca 32 8 7 17 -17 -0.5 31
21 Mirandes 32 7 7 18 -20 -4.3 28
22 Cultural Leonesa 32 7 7 18 -25 -9.1 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Sociedad B
1–0 M. de la Fuente
4′
2–0 S. Arribas
19′
31′
🟨 Tomy Carbonell
Half-time 2–0
D. Chirino 🔁
↦ M. Luna
46′
Dion Lopy 🟨
51′
3–0 S. Arribas
A. Puigmal
56′
61′
🔁 D. Diaz
↦ A. Marchal
61′
🔁 A. Mariezkurrena
↦ L. Astiazaran
61′
🔁 G. Gorosabel
↦ M. Rodriguez
63′
🟨 Gorka Carrera Zarranz
66′
G. Carrera 3–1
G. Gorosabel
N. Melamed 🔁
↦ S. Arribas
68′
69′
🟨 Aitor Fraga
S. Dzodic 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
69′
J. Morcillo 🔁
↦ A. Puigmal
69′
4–1 A. Embarba
70′
Adrián Embarba 🟨
72′
P. Soko 🔁
↦ M. de la Fuente
76′
5–1 A. Munoz
78′
79′
🔁 U. Agote
↦ J. Balda
79′
🔁 J. Eceizabarrena
↦ T. Carbonell
80′
🟨 Ibai Aguirre
94′
🟨 Alberto Dadie
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
14 I. Baba M
17 D. Lopy M
2 A. Puigmal M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
5 Rodrigo Ely
21 Chumi
22 D. Chirino
29 S. Dzodic
9 Thalys
6 A. Horta
7 J. Morcillo
19 P. Soko
20 A. Centelles
10 N. Melamed

Coach: Joan Rubi

Sociedad B

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fraga G
22 A. Dadie Izagirre D
4 L. Beitia D
15 K. Kita D
3 J. Balda D
14 T. Carbonell M
31 I. Aguirre M
17 L. Astiazaran M
8 M. Rodriguez
19 A. Marchal M
18 G. Carrera F
Bench (10)
13 E. Arana
7 D. Diaz
23 U. Agote
10 A. Mariezkurrena
16 G. Gorosabel
29 J. Garro
21 J. Eceizabarrena
33 J. Gorosabel
34 J. Oleaga
39 A. Unax

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,03
B
5,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Lax · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.