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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adi Aganovic
AIK
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Kalmar
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 7. · Kalmar 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 3 3 0 0 +8 +5.1 9
2 Malmo FF 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Elfsborg 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.8 7
4 Hammarby 3 2 0 1 +8 +2.9 6
5 Djurgarden 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Hacken 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.8 4
7 AIK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.4 4
8 Vasteras SK 3 1 1 1 -2 -4.2 4
9 Orgryte 3 1 1 1 -5 -3.6 4
10 Degerfors 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.1 3
11 Mjallby 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.4 3
12 Brommapojkarna 3 0 2 1 -3 +0.2 2
13 Halmstad 3 0 1 2 -4 -1.4 1
14 Goteborg 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.9 1
15 Kalmar 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 GAIS 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Kalmar
Charlie Pavey 🟨
18′
1–0 J. Hove
26′
A. Csongvai 🔁
↦ D. Besirovic
28′
Half-time 1–0
L. Bergquist 🔁
↦ C. Pavey
46′
48′
🟨 Achraf Dari
E. Flataker 🔁
↦ K. Filling
59′
A. Mujanic 🔁
↦ A. Kouame
59′
63′
🔁 M. Hallberg
↦ N. Chourak
Stanley Wilson 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 S. Overby
↦ V. Larsson
76′
🔁 Emeka Nnamani
↦ M. Soderback
A. Faqa 🔁
↦ S. Wilson
80′
Kristoffer Nordfeldt 🟨
87′
91′
🟨 Lars Saetra
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
12 C. Pavey D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
25 I. Cisse D
21 S. Wilson D
36 Z. Yohanna M
8 J. Hove M
19 D. Besirovic M
10 B. Celina M
29 K. Filling F
48 A. Kouame F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
5 L. Bergquist
9 E. Flataker
37 A. Faqa
45 T. Ayari
7 A. Mujanic
33 A. Csongvai
11 V. Andersson
18 A. Ali

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Kalmar

4-4-2
30 J. Kindberg G
4 R. Jansson D
39 L. Saetra D
20 A. Dari D
2 V. Larsson D
13 C. Rosenqvist M
7 N. Chourak M
23 R. Gojani M
10 M. Soderback M
6 V. Tyren F
24 C. Sagoe Jr F
Bench (8)
1 S. Brolin
3 S. Overby
5 M. Hallberg
21 A. Magashy
11 A. Olusanya
70 Emeka Nnamani
12 Z. Ravik
14 E. Imeri

Coach: Toni Koskela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.