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LaLiga2
Referee: Saul Ais Reig
Leganes
T T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
39%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 1,20
60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 19. · Sp Gijon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 19 11 4 4 +15 +0.2 37
2 La Coruna 19 9 5 5 +11 +2.7 32
3 Almeria 18 9 5 4 +10 +0.4 32
4 Castellon 18 9 4 5 +8 +3.2 31
5 Las Palmas 18 8 7 3 +8 +0.2 31
6 Burgos 18 8 4 6 +6 +1.5 28
7 Sp Gijon 18 8 3 7 -1 +1.0 27
8 Cadiz 18 7 6 5 -1 -0.8 27
9 Ceuta 18 7 5 6 -3 -3.2 26
10 Valladolid 19 6 6 7 +1 +3.9 24
11 Andorra 19 6 6 7 -5 -1.2 24
12 Malaga 18 6 5 7 +1 -1.3 23
13 Cordoba 18 5 8 5 -1 +0.6 23
14 Cultural Leonesa 18 7 2 9 -4 -5.8 23
15 Huesca 19 6 5 8 -6 +1.3 23
16 Albacete 18 6 4 8 -6 -0.7 22
17 Sociedad B 18 6 3 9 +0 +0.7 21
18 Eibar 19 5 6 8 -3 +0.1 21
19 Leganes 18 4 8 6 -2 +1.4 20
20 Granada 18 4 8 6 -3 -0.1 20
21 Mirandes 18 4 4 10 -11 -0.7 16
22 Zaragoza 18 4 4 10 -14 -3.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Sp Gijon
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Ignacio Martín
N. Garcia 🔁
↦ R. Lopez
61′
A. Millan 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
62′
Marvel 🔁
↦ M. Leiva
68′
74′
🟨 Eric Curbelo
M. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ J. Cruz
80′
O. Plano 🔁
↦ E. Franquesa
80′
81′
🔁 G. Campos
↦ A. Corredera
81′
🔁 D. Queipo
↦ J. Otero
86′
🔁 M. Rodriguez
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
88′
J. Dubasin 0–1
G. Campos
89′
🟨 Jonathan Dubasin
Lalo Aguilar 🟨
93′
Miguel de la Fuente 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leganes

4-3-3
1 J. Soriano G
36 M. Leiva D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
5 I. Miquel D
15 E. Franquesa D
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
10 J. Cruz M
11 Duk F
19 D. Garcia F
14 R. Lopez F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
2 Marvel
3 J. Saenz
9 M. de la Fuente
16 G. Melero
17 N. Garcia
18 B. Pauwels
20 O. Plano
21 A. Campos
23 A. Millan
26 C. Guirao
27 A. Sy

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
23 E. Curbelo D
15 P. Vazquez D
5 D. Sanchez D
6 Nacho Martin M
8 J. Bernal M
17 J. Dubasin M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
14 A. Corredera M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
13 C. Joel
3 P. Garcia
4 L. Perrin
7 G. Campos
9 J. Caicedo
11 D. Queipo
12 B. Olivan
16 O. Cortes
18 A. Coundoul
20 K. Vazquez
24 J. Smith
36 M. Rodriguez

Coach: Asier Garitano Aguirrezábal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,00
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saul Ais Reig · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.