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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Dender
T S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Standard
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 16%
7%
25%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
42%
Both score Ø 49%
64%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,54 xG 0,74
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
17 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dender 16. · Standard 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 9 1 2 +11 +5.7 28
2 St. Gilloise 11 8 3 0 +19 +15.5 27
3 Mechelen 13 7 4 2 +7 -3.4 25
4 St Truiden 10 6 2 2 +4 +8.8 20
5 Gent 10 6 1 3 +3 +1.7 19
6 Anderlecht 11 5 3 3 +3 +4.6 18
7 Waregem 13 5 3 5 +0 -7.5 18
8 Antwerp 12 4 3 5 +0 -4.0 15
9 Westerlo 12 3 5 4 +0 +5.3 14
10 RAAL La Louviere 13 3 4 6 -5 -8.8 13
11 Genk 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.9 12
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 3 3 5 -4 -2.5 12
13 Charleroi 13 3 3 7 -5 -1.6 12
14 Standard 12 3 3 6 -9 -5.2 12
15 Cercle Brugge 14 2 4 8 -6 +2.1 10
16 Dender 14 1 3 10 -18 -12.6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dender Standard
1′
I. Hautekiet 0–1
T. Mohr
Malcolm Viltard 🟨
31′
Luc Marijnissen 🟨
39′
Mohamed Berte 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
43′
Mohamed Berte 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
L. De Fougerolles 🔁
↦ L. Marijnissen
46′
Luc De Fougerolles 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 L. Kuavita
↦ N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
K. Koton 🔁
↦ M. Viltard
65′
R. Kvet 🔁
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
65′
D. Toshevski 🔁
↦ K. Cools
72′
78′
🔁 A. Abid
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
78′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ T. Nkada
D. Hrncar 🔁
↦ M. Sambu
81′
84′
🟨 Lucas Pirard
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dender

3-1-4-2
30 G. Dietsch G
5 L. Marijnissen D
21 K. Cools D
7 B. Goncalves D
17 N. Mbamba M
70 M. Sambu M
27 A. Jahanbakhsh M
24 M. Viltard M
88 F. Ferraro M
90 M. Berte F
77 B. Nsimba F
Bench (9)
1 L. Fortin
9 D. Toshevski
15 K. Koton
16 R. Kvet
18 N. Rodes
19 J. A. Kadiri
20 D. Hrncar
44 L. De Fougerolles
67 N. Moutha-Sebtaoui

Coach: Yannick Ferrera

Standard

3-4-2-1
21 L. Pirard G
29 D. Dierckx D
25 I. Hautekiet D
20 I. Karamoko D
18 H. Lawrence M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda M
7 T. Mohr M
94 C. Nielsen F
10 D. Eckert Ayensa F
59 T. Nkada F
Bench (9)
45 M. Godfroid
4 D. Bates
5 B. Bolingoli
53 S. Assengue
14 L. Kuavita
33 C. Spoden
11 A. Abid
19 R. Mitongo
9 T. Henry

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,17
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.