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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

St. Gilloise

S S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Waregem

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/13 matches

Win Ø 56%

73%

38%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

45%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

45%

62%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,26 xG 0,93

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Waregem 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+11	+5.7	28
2	St. Gilloise	11	8	3	0	+19	+15.5	27
3	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
5	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
6	Anderlecht	11	5	3	3	+3	+4.6	18
7	Waregem	13	5	3	5	+0	-7.5	18
8	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+1	+5.2	17
9	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+0	-4.0	15
10	Standard	13	4	3	6	-8	-6.0	15
11	RAAL La Louviere	14	3	4	7	-6	-8.7	13
12	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-4	-2.5	12
14	Charleroi	13	3	3	7	-5	-1.6	12
15	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-6	+2.1	10
16	Dender	15	1	3	11	-19	-11.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Westerlo	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.2	11
6	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
7	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
8	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
9	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
10	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	+1	-0.7	5
14	Cercle Brugge	9	1	2	6	-5	+2.4	5
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-6.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.3	15
3	St. Gilloise	6	3	3	0	+5	+6.9	12
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.1	10
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Waregem	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
8	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
9	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
11	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
12	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
13	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	2	5	-5	-4.5	5
15	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.