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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax Franco
Sp Gijon
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Granada
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
24%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 0,32
53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 9. · Granada 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 2 4 +15 +0.2 35
2 La Coruna 17 9 5 3 +15 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 17 8 6 3 +8 +0.2 30
5 Castellon 17 8 4 5 +6 +3.2 28
6 Burgos 17 7 4 6 +5 +1.5 25
7 Ceuta 17 7 4 6 -3 -3.2 25
8 Valladolid 17 6 6 5 +5 +3.9 24
9 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 -2 +0.0 24
10 Cadiz 17 6 6 5 -2 -0.8 24
11 Cordoba 18 5 8 5 -1 +0.6 23
12 Cultural Leonesa 18 7 2 9 -4 -5.8 23
13 Albacete 17 6 4 7 -4 -0.7 22
14 Huesca 18 6 4 8 -6 +1.3 22
15 Malaga 17 5 5 7 -1 -1.3 20
16 Granada 17 4 8 5 -2 +0.9 20
17 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -2 +1.4 19
18 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
19 Eibar 18 4 6 8 -6 +0.1 18
20 Andorra 17 4 6 7 -7 -1.3 18
21 Mirandes 17 4 4 9 -9 -0.7 16
22 Zaragoza 17 4 4 9 -13 -3.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Granada
Diego Sánchez 🟨
24′
Pablo Vázquez 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
Jesús Bernal ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
49′
65′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ S. Faye
65′
🔁 S. Ruiz
↦ J. Pascual
D. Queipo 🔁
↦ G. Campos
74′
J. Dubasin 🔁
↦ J. Bernal
74′
76′
🟨 Sergio Ruiz Alonso
Dani Queipo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
78′
81′
🔁 P. Casadesus
↦ O. Oppong
81′
🔁 P. Saenz
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
82′
🔁 M. Trigueros
↦ R. Alcaraz
1–0 C. Gelabert Pina
J. Otero
89′
93′
🟨 Baïla Diallo
M. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
23 E. Curbelo D
15 P. Vazquez D
5 D. Sanchez D
8 J. Bernal M
6 Nacho Martin M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
14 A. Corredera M
7 G. Campos M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (10)
13 C. Joel
9 J. Caicedo
11 D. Queipo
16 O. Cortes
17 J. Dubasin
18 A. Coundoul
20 K. Vazquez
22 Y. Kembo
34 A. D. Garcia
36 M. Rodriguez

Coach: Asier Garitano Aguirrezábal

Granada

4-3-3
1 L. Zidane G
28 O. Oppong D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
4 R. Alcaraz M
11 J. M. Arnaiz M
7 A. Sola F
19 J. Pascual F
17 S. Faye F
Bench (10)
13 A. Astralaga
2 P. Casadesus
3 D. Hormigo
10 M. Bouldini
14 M. Trigueros
20 S. Ruiz
21 P. Saenz
26 S. Rodelas
27 M. Gambin
36 Juanjo

Coach: José Rojo Martín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,10
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Salvador Lax Franco · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.