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Championship
Referee: Adam Herczeg
Southampton
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Coventry
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 69%
80%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,32 xG 0,48
60% Possession 40%
23 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Southampton 12. · Coventry 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 21 14 5 2 +30 +20.9 47
2 Middlesbrough 19 11 5 3 +8 +4.7 38
3 Preston 21 9 8 4 +7 -4.7 35
4 Millwall 20 10 5 5 -2 +3.0 35
5 Ipswich 21 9 7 5 +13 +16.3 34
6 Stoke 21 10 3 8 +8 -3.9 33
7 Leicester 21 8 7 6 +3 -4.6 31
8 Hull 19 9 4 6 +2 -10.2 31
9 QPR 21 9 4 8 -5 +2.4 31
10 Bristol City 21 8 6 7 +4 +1.9 30
11 Derby 21 8 6 7 +1 -4.7 30
12 Southampton 20 8 5 7 +5 +9.0 29
13 Birmingham 21 8 5 8 +4 +10.9 29
14 Watford 21 7 8 6 +2 +5.1 29
15 Wrexham 22 6 10 6 +0 -7.1 28
16 West Brom 21 8 4 9 -3 +1.9 28
17 Swansea 22 7 5 10 -6 -7.1 26
18 Charlton 20 6 6 8 -6 -8.9 24
19 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 -6 +6.4 23
20 Blackburn 20 6 4 10 -6 +5.3 22
21 Portsmouth 20 5 5 10 -10 -5.8 20
22 Oxford 21 4 7 10 -8 -5.8 19
23 Norwich 21 4 5 12 -10 -9.1 17
24 Sheffield Weds 20 1 6 13 -25 -16.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Southampton Coventry
26′
🟨 Matt Grimes
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 🟨
36′
44′
E. Mason-Clark 0–1
V. Torp
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟥 Jay Dasilva
50′
🔁 J. Bidwell
↦ J. Eccles
1–1 N. Wood
A. Armstrong
56′
59′
🔁 M. Brau
↦ E. Mason-Clark
T. Fellows 🔁
↦ Welington
62′
C. Archer 🔁
↦ C. Jander
76′
81′
🔁 K. Kesler-Hayden
↦ M. van Ewijk
82′
🔁 J. Allen
↦ V. Torp
82′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ H. Wright
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Southampton

3-4-2-1
31 G. Bazunu G
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
15 N. Wood D
17 J. Quarshie D
34 Welington M
4 F. Downes M
20 C. Jander M
3 R. Manning M
10 F. Azaz F
13 L. Scienza F
9 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
1 A. McCarthy
5 J. Stephens
28 O. Romeu
48 C. Bragg
7 J. Aribo
26 R. Fraser
46 J. Robinson
19 C. Archer
18 T. Fellows

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
26 L. Woolfenden D
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
3 J. Dasilva D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
5 J. Rudoni M
28 J. Eccles M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
8 J. Allen
9 E. Simms
20 K. Kesler-Hayden
21 J. Bidwell
33 M. Brau
41 C. Perry
50 G. Shepherd
54 K. Andrews

Coach: Frank Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U ✓
3,70
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adam Herczeg · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.