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Super League

Asteras Tripolis

U U S U U

0–1

Full-time

Aris

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

0,8

1,8

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Super League · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 21%

13%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

40%

36%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 12. · Aris 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	12	3	1	+24	39
2	AEK	15	12	1	2	+15	37
3	PAOK	15	11	2	2	+19	35
4	Levadeiakos	15	7	5	3	+17	26
5	Panathinaikos	14	6	5	3	+6	23
6	Volos NFC	15	7	1	7	-3	22
7	Panetolikos	15	5	3	7	-7	18
8	Kifisia	15	4	5	6	-2	17
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	4	5	5	-4	17
10	Aris	14	4	5	5	-4	17
11	OFI Crete	14	5	0	9	-8	15
12	Asteras Tripolis	15	2	8	5	-3	14
13	Atromitos	15	3	3	9	-7	12
14	Larisa	15	1	5	9	-15	8
15	Panserraikos	15	1	3	11	-28	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	8	0	0	+18	24
2	PAOK	8	7	1	0	+13	22
3	AEK	8	7	0	1	+8	21
4	Levadeiakos	9	5	2	2	+15	17
5	Panathinaikos	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Aris	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Volos NFC	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	OFI Crete	8	3	0	5	+2	9
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	5	0	+3	8
11	Kifisia	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Panetolikos	7	2	0	5	-5	6
13	Atromitos	8	1	2	5	-3	5
14	Panserraikos	7	1	1	5	-11	4
15	Larisa	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Olympiakos	8	4	3	1	+6	15
3	PAOK	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Panetolikos	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	Volos NFC	9	4	0	5	-3	12
6	Panathinaikos	7	2	3	2	+2	9
7	Levadeiakos	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Kifisia	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Atromitos	7	2	1	4	-4	7
10	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Aris	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	3	5	-6	6
13	OFI Crete	6	2	0	4	-10	6
14	Larisa	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	Panserraikos	8	0	2	6	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.