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Süper Lig
Referee: A Yilmaz
Eyüpspor
T U S U T
0–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
19%
63%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
31%
56%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
0,6
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,96 xG 1,70
43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 17. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 16 12 3 1 +24 +16.4 39
2 Fenerbahce 16 10 6 0 +22 +20.8 36
3 Trabzonspor 16 10 5 1 +14 +2.1 35
4 Goztep 16 8 5 3 +10 +2.8 29
5 Besiktas 16 7 5 4 +7 +15.4 26
6 Samsunspor 16 6 7 3 +4 +7.5 25
7 Gaziantep 16 6 5 5 -2 -0.7 23
8 Kocaelispor 17 6 5 6 -2 -0.8 23
9 Buyuksehyr 16 5 5 6 +5 -1.6 20
10 Alanyaspor 16 3 9 4 -1 -4.0 18
11 Rizespor 16 4 6 6 -3 +1.4 18
12 Konyaspor 17 4 5 8 -8 -6.1 17
13 Genclerbirligi 16 4 3 9 -4 -8.0 15
14 Kasimpasa 16 3 6 7 -7 -7.6 15
15 Antalyaspor 17 4 3 10 -15 -10.7 15
16 Kayserispor 17 2 9 6 -17 -9.2 15
17 Eyüpspor 16 3 4 9 -11 -6.5 13
18 Karagumruk 16 2 3 11 -16 -11.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Fenerbahce
27′
Talisca 0–1
L. Mercan
34′
M. Asensio 0–2
Talisca
Emir Ortakaya 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
P. O. Ampem 🔁
↦ Y. Kayan
66′
66′
🔁 O. Aydin
↦ Talisca
75′
J. Duran 0–3
M. Asensio
81′
🔁 Y. E. Demir
↦ K. Akturkoglu
82′
🔁 S. Szymanski
↦ I. Yuksek
B. A. Gezek 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
86′
I. Taskin 🔁
↦ T. Stepanenko
86′
C. Sadia 🔁
↦ D. Dragus
86′
89′
🔁 B. Elmaz
↦ Fred
89′
🔁 H. Karatas
↦ M. Asensio
Taşkın Ilter 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Mert Müldür
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-2-3-1
1 Marcos Felipe G
11 S. Gurler D
6 R. Yalcin D
5 E. Ortakaya D
18 N. Mujakic D
33 T. Stepanenko M
10 K. Demirbay M
70 D. Dragus M
30 Y. Kayan M
9 M. Thiam M
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (10)
24 J. Yilmaz
17 T. Ulvan
77 U. Meras
55 B. A. Gezek
28 I. Taskin
20 M. Legowski
40 P. O. Ampem
93 C. Sadia
99 S. Seslar
26 M. Altunbas

Coach: Orhan Ak

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
18 M. Muldur D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
22 L. Mercan D
5 I. Yuksek M
7 Fred M
21 M. Asensio M
94 Talisca M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
10 J. Duran F
Bench (9)
13 T. Cetin
1 I. Egribayat
4 C. Soyuncu
14 Y. E. Demir
28 B. Elmaz
53 S. Szymanski
67 K. Uregen
70 O. Aydin
96 H. Karatas

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,81
U
4,62
B ✓
1,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Yilmaz · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.