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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Pérez
Castellon
U T U U U
4–1
Full-time
Almeria
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
31%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
54%
63%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
74%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 16. · Almeria 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 35 19 9 7 +21 66
2 Levante 35 17 12 6 +20 63
3 Santander 35 17 9 9 +13 60
4 Mirandes 36 17 8 11 +13 59
5 Oviedo 35 16 10 9 +9 58
6 Huesca 35 16 9 10 +15 57
7 Almeria 35 15 11 9 +11 56
8 Granada 35 15 10 10 +12 55
9 Burgos 35 14 8 13 -4 50
10 La Coruna 35 12 13 10 +6 49
11 Cordoba 35 13 10 12 -1 49
12 Sp Gijon 36 11 14 11 +2 47
13 Albacete 35 12 11 12 +0 47
14 Eibar 35 12 11 12 -1 47
15 Cadiz 35 11 12 12 +0 45
16 Castellon 35 11 10 14 -2 43
17 Malaga 35 9 15 11 -4 42
18 Zaragoza 35 10 11 14 -3 41
19 Eldense 35 10 9 16 -13 39
20 Tenerife 35 8 8 19 -16 32
21 Ferrol 35 4 11 20 -38 23
22 Cartagena 35 4 5 26 -40 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Almeria
7′
🟨 Nicolás Melamed
8′
🟨 Léo Baptistão
18′
Nico Melamed 0–1
Gonzalo Melero
1–1 Sergio Moyita
D. Chirino
30′
45′
🟨 Dion Lopy
Half-time 1–1
A. Mabil 🔁
↦ Raúl Sánchez
46′
Álex Calatrava 🟨
51′
Israel Suero 🔁
↦ De Miguel
56′
Juan Escobar 🟨
61′
2–1 O. Camara
Cala
66′
3–1 Israel Suero
D. Chirino
71′
72′
🔁 Sergio Arribas
↦ Gonzalo Melero
72′
🔁 Gui
↦ L. Robertone
G. Zarfino 🔁
↦ Sergio Moyita
73′
73′
🔁 Lázaro
↦ Nico Melamed
80′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Léo Baptistão
4–1 Israel Suero
A. Mabil
82′
84′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ L. Suárez
A. Lottin 🔁
↦ J. Escobar
86′
Gonzalo Pastor 🔁
↦ O. Camara
86′
88′
🟨 Aleksandar Radovanović
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Castellon

3-5-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
25 J. Escobar D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
21 Cala M
7 Sergio Moyita M
6 T. van den Belt M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
33 J. Vertrouwd M
24 O. Camara F
9 De Miguel F
Bench (12)
19 A. Mabil
4 Israel Suero
2 G. Zarfino
18 A. Lottin
51 Gonzalo Pastor
15 J. Willems
13 A. Abedzadeh
20 N. Markanich
23 Josep Calavera
3 M. Traoré
12 M. Jojić
16 B. Cipenga

Coach: J. Plat

Almeria

4-1-4-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
3 Edgar González D
16 A. Radovanović D
24 Bruno Langa D
6 D. Lopy M
12 Léo Baptistão M
5 L. Robertone M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
11 Sergio Arribas
27 Gui
7 Lázaro
2 Arnau Puigmal
19 M. Milovanović
20 Álex Centelles
38 Pedro Cedillo
4 Kaiky
13 Fernando Martínez
17 Álex Pozo
23 Silvi

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,58
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.