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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Leganes
U U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Castellon
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
7 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 15. · Castellon 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Burgos 7 3 3 1 +5 +3.1 12
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Valladolid 7 3 2 2 +3 +2.3 11
8 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Almeria 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Huesca 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Ceuta 7 2 2 3 -5 -2.3 8
15 Leganes 6 1 4 1 +1 7
16 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
17 Cultural Leonesa 7 2 1 4 -5 -3.1 7
18 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -2 6
19 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
20 Cordoba 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Castellon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
22 Granada 7 1 2 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Castellon
Andrés Campos 🟨
-5′
4′
🟨 Marc-Olivier Doué
Amadou Diawara 🟨
21′
31′
B. Cipenga 0–1
39′
🔁 S. Ruiz
↦ F. Brignani
Lalo Aguilar 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
E. Franquesa 🔁
↦ Duk
46′
Álex Millán 🟨
49′
R. Lopez 🔁
↦ G. Melero
59′
C. Guirao 🔁
↦ A. Millan
59′
69′
🔁 Barri
↦ Ronaldo
69′
🔁 O. Camara
↦ A. Jakobsen
B. Pauwels 🔁
↦ N. Garcia
75′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ J. Cruz
80′
80′
🔁 A. Mabil
↦ K. Mamah
80′
🔁 B. Gerenabarrena
↦ M. Doue
83′
🟨 Jeremy Mellot
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leganes

3-5-1-1
1 J. Soriano G
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
3 J. Saenz D
5 I. Miquel D
11 Duk M
16 G. Melero M
24 A. Diawara M
23 A. Millan M
17 N. Garcia M
10 J. Cruz F
9 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (11)
13 M. San Roman
31 J. Garrido
14 R. Lopez
15 E. Franquesa
18 B. Pauwels
19 D. Garcia
20 O. Plano
21 A. Campos
22 S. Figueredo
26 C. Guirao
27 S. Imigene

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Castellon

4-2-3-1
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
12 Alcazar D
25 Ronaldo
6 M. Doue M
23 K. Mamah M
21 A. Calatrava M
16 B. Cipenga M
19 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
7 A. Mabil
8 Barri
9 O. Camara
10 I. Suero
15 B. Gerenabarrena
17 S. Ruiz
18 P. Santiago
20 N. Markanich
24 Serpeta
26 Tincho
30 D. Selles

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,35
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.