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LaLiga2

Referee: Luis Bestard Servera

Almeria

T T S S U

4–2

Full-time

Zaragoza

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Zaragoza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,2

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

63%

13%

Both score Ø 57%

75%

38%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 14

14 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 9. · Zaragoza 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	8	4	4	0	+11	–	16
2	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	–	16
3	Cadiz	8	4	3	1	+3	–	15
4	Las Palmas	9	4	3	2	+3	–	15
5	Andorra	8	4	2	2	+3	–	14
6	Huesca	8	4	1	3	-2	–	13
7	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+4	+3.1	12
8	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.3	12
9	Almeria	8	3	3	2	+0	–	12
10	Eibar	8	3	2	3	+3	–	11
11	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	–	11
12	Leganes	9	2	5	2	+1	–	11
13	Ceuta	8	3	2	3	-4	-2.3	11
14	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-2	–	9
15	Sp Gijon	8	3	0	5	-3	–	9
16	Mirandes	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
17	Cordoba	8	2	3	3	-3	–	9
18	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	–	9
19	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-4	–	8
20	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-5	-3.1	8
21	Zaragoza	8	1	3	4	-4	–	6
22	Sociedad B	8	1	3	4	-5	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	4	3	1	0	+6	–	10
2	Cadiz	4	3	1	0	+3	–	10
3	Huesca	5	3	1	1	+2	–	10
4	Santander	5	3	0	2	+5	–	9
5	Ceuta	4	3	0	1	+2	–	9
6	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+5	+3.1	8
7	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+5	–	8
8	Valladolid	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
9	Andorra	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
10	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
11	Sociedad B	4	1	3	0	+1	–	6
12	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	+0	–	6
13	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+1	–	5
14	Malaga	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
15	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
16	Cordoba	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
17	Granada	5	1	1	3	-2	–	4
18	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-2	–	3
19	Leganes	4	0	2	2	-2	–	2
20	Zaragoza	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
21	Cultural Leonesa	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
22	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-6	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leganes	5	2	3	0	+3	–	9
2	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+6	–	8
3	Mirandes	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
4	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+3	–	8
5	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+0	–	8
6	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
7	Andorra	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
8	Albacete	5	1	3	1	+0	–	6
9	Castellon	4	2	0	2	+0	–	6
10	Cultural Leonesa	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.1	6
11	Cadiz	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
12	Granada	4	1	2	1	-2	–	5
13	Cordoba	5	1	2	2	-2	–	5
14	Burgos	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
15	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
16	Zaragoza	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
17	Sp Gijon	4	1	0	3	-3	–	3
18	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-4	–	3
19	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
20	Ceuta	4	0	2	2	-6	-2.3	2
21	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	–	1
22	Sociedad B	4	0	0	4	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.