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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Ferrol
S T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 23%
14%
32%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
39%
29%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
36%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 20. · Burgos 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 29 15 7 7 +13 52
2 Huesca 29 14 9 6 +18 51
3 Mirandes 29 15 6 8 +15 51
4 Levante 29 13 11 5 +14 50
5 Elche 29 14 8 7 +14 50
6 Oviedo 29 14 8 7 +7 50
7 Almeria 29 12 11 6 +11 47
8 Granada 29 11 10 8 +6 43
9 Cordoba 29 12 6 11 -1 42
10 La Coruna 29 10 9 10 +4 39
11 Sp Gijon 29 9 12 8 +4 39
12 Castellon 29 11 6 12 +1 39
13 Malaga 29 8 15 6 +1 39
14 Cadiz 29 9 11 9 +0 38
15 Albacete 29 9 10 10 -2 37
16 Eibar 29 10 7 12 -3 37
17 Zaragoza 29 9 9 11 +3 36
18 Burgos 28 9 6 13 -10 33
19 Eldense 29 8 7 14 -13 31
20 Ferrol 28 4 10 14 -27 22
21 Tenerife 29 4 7 18 -21 19
22 Cartagena 29 4 3 22 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Burgos
15′
🔁 David González
↦ Elady
Half-time 0–0
46′
ℹ️ Eduardo Espiau
VAR: Penalty confirmed
46′
🔁 Curro Sánchez
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
46′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Dani Ojeda
50′
David González 0–1
56′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Edu Espiau
Brais Martínez 🔁
↦ E. Insúa
64′
Naim García 🔁
↦ Raúl Blanco
64′
Josep Señé 🟨
69′
Luis Perea 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
71′
75′
🟨 Florian Miguel
Chiki 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
78′
Álvaro Giménez 🔁
↦ Eneko Jauregi
78′
83′
🔁 Pipa
↦ David González
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
13 Yoel Rodríguez G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
5 Naldo D
15 David Castro D
12 E. Insúa D
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio M
21 Raúl Blanco M
8 Héber Pena M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (12)
18 Brais Martínez
2 Naim García
24 Luis Perea
7 Chiki
20 Álvaro Giménez
14 Aitor Gelardo
1 Emilio Bernad
19 Manu Vallejo
26 David Carballo
25 Jesús Ruiz
4 A. Puric
16 Fran Manzanara

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
5 Miguel Atienza M
33 Marcelo Expósito M
7 Dani Ojeda M
22 Elady M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
14 David González
16 Curro Sánchez
11 Álex Sancris
9 Fer Niño
20 Pipa
24 N. Miličić
23 Iván Morante
10 Borja Sánchez
28 Mario Cantero
1 Tomeu Nadal
2 G. Konan
15 G. Barès

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U
2,69
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,03
U2,5 ✓
1,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.