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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta
Burgos
S T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Cartagena
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Almeria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Granada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Sp Gijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -24 Burgos – Cartagena 3–0 16. Dec -23 Cartagena – Burgos 0–3 7. May -23 Cartagena – Burgos 0–0 4. Sep -22 Burgos – Cartagena 1–0 14. May -22 Burgos – Cartagena 1–1

Match report

Burgos Cartagena
14′
⚽ Sergio Guerrero 0–1
Luis Muñoz
1–1 Fer Niño ⚽
25′
Anderson Arroyo 🟨
32′
2–1 Dani Ojeda ⚽
40′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Gastón Valles
↦ D. Musto
65′
🔁 Dani Escriche
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
68′
71′
🟨 Andy Rodríguez
Raúl Navarro 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 A. Vukčević
↦ Ríos Reina
75′
🔁 Cedric Teguia
↦ Luis Muñoz
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
76′
Iván Morante 🔁
↦ Raúl Navarro
76′
79′
🟨 Jairo Izquierdo
80′
🟨 Dani Escriche
81′
🔁 L. Román
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
David González 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
90′
3–1 Curro Sánchez ⚽
93′
98′
ℹ️ Andrija Vukčević
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
27 David López D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
3 F. Miguel D
11 Álex Sancris M
6 Raúl Navarro M
12 K. Appin M
7 Dani Ojeda M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (11)
21 Iñigo Córdoba
19 Edu Espiau
23 Iván Morante
14 David González
1 L. Badiashile
8 Ander Martín
28 Saúl del Cerro
34 Hugo Rastrilla
32 Hugo Pascual
17 Javi López-Pinto
33 Marcelo Expósito

Coach: Bolo

Cartagena

4-3-3
1 Pablo Cuñat G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Alcalá D
24 N. Šipčić D
3 Ríos Reina D
8 Luis Muñoz M
18 D. Musto M
17 Andy Rodríguez M
6 Sergio Guerrero F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
Bench (10)
7 Gastón Valles
10 Dani Escriche
12 A. Vukčević
23 Cedric Teguia
37 L. Román
2 Jorge Moreno
30 Jhafets Christ
27 Carmelo Sánchez
22 Kiko Olivas
26 Ángel Andugar

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B
4,18
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,48
🔒
U2,5
1,50
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marta Huerta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.