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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Burgos
S T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Cartagena
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
39%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 10. · Cartagena 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 28 14 8 6 +22 50
2 Espanol 29 13 9 7 +13 48
3 Eibar 28 13 7 8 +11 46
4 Sp Gijon 29 12 10 7 +9 46
5 Valladolid 28 13 6 9 +6 45
6 Oviedo 29 11 11 7 +12 44
7 Elche 28 12 8 8 +3 44
8 Ferrol 29 11 11 7 +1 44
9 Santander 29 12 7 10 +3 43
10 Burgos 28 12 6 10 -2 42
11 Eldense 29 10 11 8 +1 41
12 Levante 28 9 12 7 +0 39
13 Zaragoza 28 9 10 9 +3 37
14 Tenerife 28 10 7 11 -1 37
15 Huesca 29 7 12 10 +1 33
16 Mirandes 28 8 9 11 -4 33
17 Albacete 29 7 10 12 -8 31
18 Cartagena 28 8 7 13 -10 31
19 Villarreal B 29 7 9 13 -15 30
20 Alcorcon 28 7 8 13 -16 29
21 Andorra 27 6 7 14 -13 25
22 Amorebieta 28 4 9 15 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Cartagena
Curro 🟨
25′
1–0 Curro Sánchez
35′
Kevin Appin 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Jose Fontán
Half-time 1–0
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
51′
Grego Sierra 🔁
↦ K. Appin
59′
59′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Mikel Rico
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
68′
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
68′
68′
🔁 Arnau Ortiz
↦ Luis Muñoz
2–0 Curro Sánchez
71′
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
76′
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
76′
Joni Montiel 🟥
80′
86′
🔁 Juan Carlos Real
↦ Darío Poveda
86′
🔁 T. Alarcón
↦ Alcalá
86′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ D. Musto
3–0 Álex Bermejo
Ander Martín
98′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
7 Dani Ojeda M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (8)
20 Grego Sierra
19 Edu Espiau
8 Ander Martín
10 Álex Bermejo
21 Joni Montiel
2 Borja González
1 L. Badiashile
22 Miki Muñoz

Coach: Bolo

Cartagena

4-3-3
1 Tomás Mejías G
16 Iván Calero D
22 Kiko Olivas D
4 Alcalá D
14 José Fontán D
6 Andy Rodríguez M
18 D. Musto M
17 Mikel Rico M
8 Luis Muñoz F
10 Darío Poveda F
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
Bench (9)
9 Alfredo Ortuño
26 Arnau Ortiz
11 Juan Carlos Real
23 T. Alarcón
12 J. Narváez
33 Arnau Solà
48 Jhafets Christ
32 Jony Álamo
2 Diego Moreno

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,15
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,49
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.