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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Burgos
T S T S T
4–0
Full-time
Elche
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 16. · Elche 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Espanol 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Levante 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Leganes 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Tenerife 6 4 0 2 +4 12
6 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Andorra 7 3 1 3 -2 10
8 Santander 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Ferrol 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 Eibar 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Amorebieta 6 2 2 2 +3 8
12 Elche 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Albacete 6 2 2 2 -1 8
14 Eldense 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Mirandes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Burgos 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
18 Villarreal B 6 1 2 3 -2 5
19 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Huesca 6 0 4 2 -4 4
21 Oviedo 6 0 3 3 -3 3
22 Cartagena 7 1 0 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Elche
José Antonio Caro 🟨
16′
Eduardo Espiau 🟨
23′
1–0 Curro Sánchez
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Josan
↦ Álex Martín
47′
🟨 Nicolás Fernández
2–0 Curro Sánchez
48′
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
53′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
53′
53′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ N. Castro
61′
🔁 Cristian Salvador
↦ Diego González
3–0 Dani Ojeda
K. Appin
66′
70′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Fidel
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
73′
Álex Sancris 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
77′
Andy 🔁
↦ Borja González
77′
Kevin Appin 🟨
81′
4–0 Álex Bermejo
E. Saveljich
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
24 E. Saveljich D
6 Raúl Navarro D
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 Miguel Atienza M
7 Dani Ojeda M
19 Edu Espiau F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (9)
8 Ander Martín
12 K. Appin
10 Álex Bermejo
11 Álex Sancris
17 Andy
23 José Matos
27 Javi López
1 L. Badiashile
31 O. El Goumiri

Coach: Bolo

Elche

4-3-2-1
13 Edgar Badia G
15 Álex Martín D
4 Diego González D
6 Bigas D
23 Clerc D
16 Fidel M
14 Aleix Febas M
21 N. Castro M
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
11 Tete Morente M
9 Sergio León F
Bench (9)
17 Josan
7 Óscar Plano
20 Cristian Salvador
19 Mourad
8 Raúl Guti
12 José Salinas
3 L. Blanco
24 Sergio Carreira
1 Miguel San Román

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,05
U
3,09
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.