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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
T T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
39%
46%
Both score Ø 60%
59%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 6
19 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 17. · Las Palmas 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 41 24 8 9 +33 80
2 Eibar 41 23 11 7 +17 80
3 Valladolid 41 23 9 9 +25 78
4 Tenerife 41 20 9 12 +17 69
5 Girona 41 20 7 14 +15 67
6 Las Palmas 41 18 13 10 +9 67
7 Oviedo 41 16 17 8 +15 65
8 Ponferradina 42 17 12 13 +2 63
9 Cartagena 41 17 6 18 +5 57
10 Zaragoza 42 12 20 10 -7 56
11 Huesca 41 13 15 13 +8 54
12 Burgos 41 15 9 17 +0 54
13 Leganes 41 13 14 14 -1 53
14 Mirandes 42 15 7 20 -4 52
15 Ibiza 41 12 16 13 -5 52
16 Lugo 42 10 20 12 -6 50
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 13 17 -4 46
18 Malaga 42 11 12 19 -21 45
19 Amorebieta 42 9 16 17 -19 43
20 Sociedad B 42 10 10 22 -18 40
21 Fuenlabrada 42 6 15 21 -26 33
22 Alcorcon 41 5 11 25 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,76
U
3,47
B ✓
1,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.